TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Angels, Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$668,291
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$662,662

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $668,291 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b1d…74ccbacked Angels32c507,401$163,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163,344.769440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners68c151,654$103,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48,298.6263152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners68c124,551$84,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,221.591,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners68c112,879$77,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,710.9148254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners68c90,670$61,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,464.3438751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels31c62,815$19,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,472.5438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Mariners69c31,852$21,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,028.8117156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Angels32c25,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,00056451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners68c25,000$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,00044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners67c18,464$12,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,034.781,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners73c9,494$6,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.181,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mariners68c7,192$4,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.5323455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Mariners69c5,789$3,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.7925453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners68c4,735$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,538.22,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Mariners70c4,573$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.8621847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Angels33c4,440$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.238949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Angels31c4,159$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Angels32c3,125$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028042.1%118 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels22c2,911$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.059,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Angels32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners70c2,331$1,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.2420747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9aaf…114dbacked Mariners69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6202347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Angels32c1,919$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.082958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Angels33c1,694$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.1731145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x257d…aac8backed Angels32c1,629$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5284418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-55.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Angels32c1,600$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.6673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb343…7cdcbacked Mariners68c1,574$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.534100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Mariners69c1,526$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.424057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners70c1,423$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.0376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels26c1,401$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…59e4backed Angels17c1,394$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.271428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners67c1,254$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.8273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Angels33c1,234$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2250843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Angels32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels34c999.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Mariners67c982$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.0620748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Angels33c898$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.3412436.3%45 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed1f…afd7backed Mariners69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.643562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Angels11c718$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.991,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Angels33c716$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.2844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels34c700$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2383,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Mariners69c662.22$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.2914055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa3e…e822backed Angels33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners66c606$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.041,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Mariners68c603$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.926650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Angels33c600$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Mariners68c589$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4817045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd902…a809backed Angels34c545.68$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.48475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+107.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed Angels33c530.3$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Mariners68c529.41$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.415950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Angels32c528.66$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1751347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Angels31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15519747.2%93 W · 104 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Mariners67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1659651%49 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels34c499.46$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.621,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels31c497.83$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.3343949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Mariners69c476.81$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8157744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Angels28c440$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.245248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Mariners72c429.41$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7160052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Mariners73c411.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8712558.4%73 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Angels33c399.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13233140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Angels32c381.25$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12213045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Mariners65c360.61$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1256949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners70c350.04$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf267…0a4cbacked Mariners67c350$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.513052.3%68 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Angels31c335.16$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.932651.5%168 W · 158 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Angels6c334.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Angels22c328.43$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.547035.7%25 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Angels33c325.6$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.451,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Angels32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Mariners69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Mariners67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.5156351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Angels6c295.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Angels35c288.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mariners76c284.43$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.151,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners77c275.97$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.614,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners67c273$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.131,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mariners72c272$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.216,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners70c270.33$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.172,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Mariners66c251.52$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5299951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mariners67c242$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.863855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…9133backed Mariners66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.121471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7845…1730backed Mariners66c212.12$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.123056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Angels29c208.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6035652.5%187 W · 169 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Angels31c203.61$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6453639.9%214 W · 322 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Angels32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6450447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff52…e92dbacked Angels35c198.09$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.181850%9 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Angels22c189.47$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6813740.1%55 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Angels36c187.8$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6112025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Mariners72c168$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.046152.5%32 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Mariners69c165.46$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2923248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Angels22c159.09$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Angels33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010154.5%55 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Angels33c149.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.535245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Mariners68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0612459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x670f…3f29backed Angels32c133.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2211049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Angels32c120$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.125548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd63e…0d52backed Mariners69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.949161.5%56 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Mariners68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2940144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.