La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla vs. Elche CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa4efb27e8d2e4c20647acd694d72d8a54b77ab8b06f1ad2caf576b287a98040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,332
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328e…dc42backed No | 34c | 14,201$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,834.19 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 71c | 8,494$6,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,031.06 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 56c | 7,345$4,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.35 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 51c | 7,343$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.83 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…f105backed Yes | 29c | 6,550$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…7794backed No | 71c | 5,632$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,998.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 32c | 4,909$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,337.63 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…cebcbacked Yes | 29c | 3,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…1e18backed No | 71c | 2,958$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 43c | 2,100$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.65 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 34c | 1,912$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.76 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,730$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 15cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Yes | 33c | 1,694$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 72c | 1,687$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.6 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 1,437$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…c7c0backed No | 71c | 1,410$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…35e6backed No | 71c | 1,315$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 1,145$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.95 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 68c | 1,133$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 29c | 1,031$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.03 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 57c | 1,027$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.95 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 71c | 1,018$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.5 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 30c | 794.07$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.85 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 25c | 681.01$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.01 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 57c | 649.28$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.23 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 70c | 620.98$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed No | 44c | 525.77$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafdc…e9c9backed Yes | 66c | 515.87$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 23c | 430.79$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Yes | 30c | 333$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 22c | 282.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked No | 58c | 233$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 29c | 172$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.12 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 70c | 152.07$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 72c | 149.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 67c | 148$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 72c | 140$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 28c | 140$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 30c | 130$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 70c | 89.45$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.71 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 27c | 73.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Yes | 28c | 67.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 68c | 65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 34c | 57.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 69c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes | 31c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Yes | 24c | 41.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +112.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed No | 73c | 40.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 29c | 37.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc8…d9f7backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 35c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe821…248fbacked No | 71c | 26.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 73c | 23.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…0b63backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla vs. Elche CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-12?No won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.