La Liga · resolved market
Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d4314295f8b38bc6c710705f3455ac4e9877c79b022e72e1f6b1213705db0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 77c | 5,408$4,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.66 | 258 | 72.9%188 W · 70 L | +23.2wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 79c | 4,524$3,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.12 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 21c | 3,816$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 3,366$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.25 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 79c | 3,322$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 3,269$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.16 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 19c | 3,256$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 61c | 2,811$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.8 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 35c | 2,730$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 2,550$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 155 | 16.1%25 W · 130 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.02 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 79c | 2,482$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.32 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Yes | 21c | 2,408$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 2,251$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.17 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 78c | 1,681$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.19 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yes | 23c | 1,520$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 79c | 1,063$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.23 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 20c | 973$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.6 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 955.27$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.19 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76dd…59e8backed Yes | 24c | 848.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 22c | 810$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Yes | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 21c | 714.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 158 | 51.3%81 W · 77 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Yes | 73c | 603.15$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 76c | 494.89$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.08 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 80c | 479.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 74c | 469.23$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 80c | 406.85$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.37 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 370$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yes | 42c | 365.48$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 19c | 340.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 43c | 319.51$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 74c | 300$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.5 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 39c | 260$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.6 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…e6c6backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed No | 77c | 232$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked No | 44c | 230$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 78c | 201.98$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 24c | 189.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 19c | 178$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Yes | 10c | 154$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 47c | 150.9$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…2f32backed Yes | 22c | 147$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 21c | 129$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +8.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…30abbacked No | 79c | 116.46$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…a004backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 127 | 22.8%29 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 20c | 95.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 77c | 93.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…0918backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…a074backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 75c | 73.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 52.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…04babacked No | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…24babacked Yes | 53c | 37.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 79c | 34.29$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…34aabacked Yes | 73c | 21.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 290 | 53.4%155 W · 135 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elche CF win on 2025-09-12?this page
- Will Sevilla vs. Elche CF end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.