TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Padresof Rockies, Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$936,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$991,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $936,362 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rockies26c654,458$169,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169,357.2938043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Padres74c137,500$101,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,75011759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres73c111,313$81,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,054.5635952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Padres74c88,107$65,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,710.2538751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres74c70,000$52,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,00048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres74c63,653$47,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,515.371,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Padres75c61,500$46,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,37545248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Rockies25c43,702$10,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,925.617351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres74c39,493$29,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,214.181,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Padres75c30,000$22,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,50044456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres74c24,244$17,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,421.7843949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Rockies27c22,250$6,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,002.321847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Rockies27c19,633$5,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,292.429135.2%32 W · 59 L-12.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies27c17,365$4,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,656.092,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Rockies27c15,070$4,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,068.9878445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres74c13,000$9,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3801,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres75c11,777$8,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,944.2530255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Padres74c8,000$5,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0806547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Padres75c8,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00012247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies27c7,251$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,957.71,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Padres73c6,999$5,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.7496133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Padres74c5,000$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres75c4,400$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.872,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Padres72c4,295$3,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2089,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfc…b032backed Rockies23c3,209$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.132958.6%17 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0ec…df7bbacked Rockies25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Padres74c2,500$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09c4…40cdbacked Padres73c2,335$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.410154.5%55 W · 46 L+8.5wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfaae…8a95backed Padres75c2,250$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Padres75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed Padres75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x206e…14dfbacked Rockies25c1,900$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9940%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rockies27c1,867$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.0912,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Padres73c1,789$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.2511345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x305e…7d29backed Padres75c1,762$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.663345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Padres74c1,643$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.211,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7308…c177backed Rockies34c1,473$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Padres75c1,279$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.758356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rockies27c1,200$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32440352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies8c1,179$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7554…38e2backed Padres70c1,170$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.071833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres75c1,153$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.281,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Padres75c1,102$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.51,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Padres75c1,043$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.9673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Padres75c1,020$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Padres75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25040152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Padres76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2408562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Padres75c982$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.520748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockies30c966.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29025551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e4f…446cbacked Padres75c900$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2251963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies27c850.22$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.566,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Rockies24c804.17$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19357744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Padres77c705.31$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2214055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Padres77c700$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1613,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Rockies30c683$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.920747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Padres75c603$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7526650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Padres76c534$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1651953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies23c528.62$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5851347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Padres73c444$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.883855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc553…5928backed Rockies25c399.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Padres76c352.93$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.734264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Padres77c319.96$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9699951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Padres75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7566751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres75c264.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.912,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Padres76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1621853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Padres68c236.66$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.916,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c2…0b66backed Padres75c234.67$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.67757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Rockies5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06b7…1271backed Rockies25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Rockies24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4823248.3%112 W · 120 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2b1…6dd8backed Rockies25c188$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d04…7102backed Padres76c181.58$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.583540%14 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x73b2…3212backed Rockies25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-32.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74eb…5568backed Rockies25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Rockies25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35af…44f3backed Padres76c147.37$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.371346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies27c146.42$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.531,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres75c139$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7845…1730backed Padres77c136.52$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.523056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fe…d038backed Padres74c135.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.13633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70ac…25ecbacked Padres74c133.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ef…5289backed Padres77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8712459.7%74 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x500a…6269backed Padres74c128.37$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies24c125.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.111,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f7…2b93backed Padres74c124.32$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.32977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+48.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Rockies20c123.48$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5360052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres76c122.99$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.522,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Rockies17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8833137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Padres74c110$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.66261.3%38 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked Padres78c105$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Padres68c104.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5476456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Padres77c103.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed42…7718backed Rockies24c100.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Rockies24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2424346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4f2…5bb5backed Padres75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252885.7%24 W · 4 L+5.4wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Rockies23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Rockies24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2435245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.