MLB · resolved market
Giants vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe495c2009d376ff5ab279dfc56a00c4ba02ad49be81d8e6ac1ce64c87a87677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Giants, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Giants | 45c | 5,011$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Giants | 1c | 4,100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 4,008$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Giants | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.82 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 2,000$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 44c | 1,643$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.92 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 1,303$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.15 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Giants | 45c | 1,256$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.29 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,104$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Giants | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Giants | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 44c | 999.98$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 982.99$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.18 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 887.99$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.36 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Giants | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 47c | 867.25$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.64 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 853.36$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.62 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 822$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.68 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Giants | 46c | 802$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.92 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 794.63$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.53 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Giants | 34c | 790$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 728.37$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.52 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 727$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.15 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Giants | 48c | 626.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Giants | 48c | 584.62$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.62 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Giants | 40c | 566.63$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.65 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Giants | 66c | 555.49$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 552.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.73 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 547.96$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.58 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Diamondbacks | 60c | 533.33$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Giants | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Diamondbacks | 33c | 494.25$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.54 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 472.62$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants | 42c | 470$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Giants | 46c | 460.87$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Giants | 45c | 449.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Giants | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 406.15$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 395.09$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.09 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Giants | 46c | 392$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Diamondbacks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.21 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 252.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Giants | 5c | 247$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 235.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.76 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Giants | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Giants | 47c | 220.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Giants | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 46c | 219.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…9073backed Giants | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…d5ddbacked Giants | 44c | 215.91$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Giants | 46c | 210.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…0208backed Giants | 44c | 188.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…2486backed Giants | 44c | 188.24$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74eb…5568backed Giants | 45c | 179.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…2a13backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 176.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 166.2$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 163$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc3…fe54backed Giants | 45c | 157.76$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Giants | 26c | 156.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 154.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 144.07$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 142.4$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7989…da85backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 141.07$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…3f7dbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 139.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Giants | 8c | 135$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c279backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dcd…17aabacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Giants | 44c | 115.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.84 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Giants | 46c | 115.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…213ebacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2543…4ffbbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…bcb3backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…ebafbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 107.13$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Giants | 40c | 100.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c3…eccfbacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bf…019fbacked Giants | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…6485backed Giants | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6957…3d11backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…6321backed Diamondbacks | 56c | 96.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f2…c14fbacked Giants | 45c | 95.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…d817backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Giants | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Giants | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Diamondbacksthis page
- Giants vs. Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.