College Football · resolved market
Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston Bearkats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f914192d82a50cd521b55b74c7352d1bb3d0505dcc134b5d1b04f52acb02f27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jacksonville Stateof Jacksonville State, Sam Houston Bearkats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 24c | 23,280$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640.46 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Jacksonville State | 77c | 21,227$16,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,967.8 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Jacksonville State | 71c | 7,000$4,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.99 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 6c | 6,575$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.12 | 86 | 29.1%25 W · 61 L | +15.2wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +361.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 2cpaid | +841.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 4,947$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.53 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Jacksonville State | 60c | 3,264$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.77 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 33c | 2,887$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.58 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 30c | 2,056$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.74 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jacksonville State | 76c | 1,928$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.37 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Jacksonville State | 76c | 1,702$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.07 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 32c | 1,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…f167backed Jacksonville State | 71c | 1,490$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7346…f416backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 1,488$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jacksonville State | 70c | 1,325$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.54 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 1,302$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.45 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Jacksonville State | 71c | 1,118$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.28 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 1,026$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.6 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 30c | 1,005$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.52 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…7e3fbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3da…3d6abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ab…3f21backed Jacksonville State | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 25c | 980.85$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.04 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…1332backed Jacksonville State | 72c | 965$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Jacksonville State | 71c | 956.2$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.3 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472e…218bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 38c | 780$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Jacksonville State | 76c | 405.2$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Jacksonville State | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Jacksonville State | 78c | 232$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Jacksonville State | 71c | 202$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Jacksonville State | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +12.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…47acbacked Jacksonville State | 72c | 190$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…c5f2backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 25c | 188.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4784…579dbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 28c | 165$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19c3…694abacked Jacksonville State | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…93dfbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…780abacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…a742backed Jacksonville State | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Jacksonville State | 70c | 89.8$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76a…700bbacked Sam Houston Bearkats | 23c | 87.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689d…f3c1backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 74c | 82.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2710…b906backed Jacksonville State | 70c | 74.3$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Jacksonville State | 71c | 72.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jacksonville State | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d1…bc55backed Jacksonville State | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…3be6backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a03…47c1backed Jacksonville State | 63c | 58.73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5037…4630backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sam Houston Bearkats | 31c | 33.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Jacksonville State | 68c | 32.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Jacksonville State | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…f1d3backed Jacksonville State | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…b046backed Jacksonville State | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Jacksonville State | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f45…968abacked Jacksonville State | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Jacksonville State | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…9897backed Jacksonville State | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…f2e3backed Jacksonville State | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Jacksonville State | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9904…c488backed Jacksonville State | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Jacksonville State | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…c1cbbacked Jacksonville State | 72c | 18.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston Bearkatsthis page
- Jacksonville State vs. Sam Houston Bearkats: O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: Jacksonville State (-7.5)Sam Houston Bearkats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.