MLB · resolved market
Yankees vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810bd951e31168fdac45a0a3c07374c4aeda328818e67d625a4479cddd50faf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Yankees, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $930,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $944,320
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $930,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 40c | 763,748$309,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309,108.74 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Yankees | 60c | 182,045$109,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,818 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yankees | 59c | 110,279$65,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,214.35 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 59c | 106,934$63,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,842.77 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 60c | 97,327$58,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,675.7 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 60c | 60,276$36,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,136.67 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yankees | 60c | 60,000$36,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees | 59c | 25,555$15,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,477.55 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Twins | 41c | 22,912$9,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,286.94 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 59c | 19,880$11,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,132.31 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Twins | 10c | 19,452$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.1 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yankees | 60c | 18,849$11,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,565.43 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…88d5backed Yankees | 60c | 15,811$9,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,324.35 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Twins | 40c | 14,623$5,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.39 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yankees | 59c | 12,500$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Yankees | 61c | 12,387$7,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,770.29 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 59c | 10,300$6,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,223 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yankees | 60c | 9,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yankees | 60c | 5,033$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.54 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Twins | 41c | 5,011$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yankees | 60c | 5,000$2,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 60c | 4,716$2,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.62 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 12c | 4,121$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.35 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Yankees | 65c | 3,649$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Yankees | 59c | 3,459$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yankees | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Yankees | 60c | 2,787$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.62 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yankees | 60c | 2,629$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.8 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Yankees | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Yankees | 60c | 2,277$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.86 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Twins | 9c | 2,244$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Twins | 40c | 1,921$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.38 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Twins | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Twins | 10c | 1,500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Yankees | 58c | 1,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.99 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Yankees | 60c | 1,390$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.32 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Twins | 2c | 1,330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yankees | 60c | 1,295$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Twins | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 60c | 1,258$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.23 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e43…17b6backed Twins | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Twins | 2c | 1,112$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,068$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 60c | 1,063$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.2 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yankees | 60c | 1,057$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.8 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yankees | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Twins | 42c | 952.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Twins | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 59c | 803$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.23 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Yankees | 60c | 781.65$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.93 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Yankees | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Yankees | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yankees | 61c | 655$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 7c | 599.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Twins | 9c | 583.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Twins | 2c | 581.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Twins | 41c | 490$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Yankees | 61c | 456.23$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.93 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Yankees | 66c | 454.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.59 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Twins | 22c | 447.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yankees | 60c | 422$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 11c | 403.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe128…243fbacked Twins | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 41c | 388.12$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Yankees | 61c | 385.25$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Yankees | 60c | 370.89$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Yankees | 75c | 343.15$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yankees | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Twins | 42c | 309.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…2576backed Twins | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -75%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yankees | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 40c | 269.8$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.54 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Twins | 39c | 215.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Yankees | 62c | 209.68$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Yankees | 61c | 208.2$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yankees | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Twins | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Yankees | 60c | 186.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yankees | 60c | 182.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Twins | 41c | 180$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked Yankees | 60c | 171.64$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yankees | 59c | 171.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Yankees | 60c | 166.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yankees | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 64c | 156.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yankees | 60c | 146.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Yankees | 59c | 135$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yankees | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Yankees | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…462bbacked Yankees | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed Twins | 40c | 122$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked Twins | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 337 | 50.4%170 W · 167 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Yankees vs. Twinsthis page
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.