NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92dcbef71b45dfc245808b516c6afc92db3d816499af4b4a9054ea9dfb959c0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Kraken, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $463,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $465,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Kraken | 42c | 198,668$82,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,454.07 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Senators | 58c | 50,749$29,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,329.56 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Senators | 59c | 50,455$29,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,686.39 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kraken | 42c | 45,222$18,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,840.98 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Senators | 58c | 42,392$24,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,604.61 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 43c | 40,000$17,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,199.95 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Senators | 59c | 25,555$15,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,477.55 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Senators | 58c | 21,475$12,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,019.44 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…e181backed Kraken | 44c | 16,359$7,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,197.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 58c | 14,938$8,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,273.87 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Senators | 53c | 11,061$5,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.24 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Senators | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Kraken | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Senators | 59c | 9,600$5,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Kraken | 43c | 9,302$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.86 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 57c | 9,302$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.86 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 57c | 8,995$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.85 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Senators | 59c | 8,269$4,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.29 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…833cbacked Senators | 57c | 7,459$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,207.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…bb56backed Senators | 57c | 7,414$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,188.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Senators | 58c | 7,230$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,036.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Senators | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.97 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 42c | 6,734$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.28 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Senators | 56c | 6,162$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.02 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Senators | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Senators | 57c | 5,954$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.22 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Senators | 58c | 5,914$3,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.54 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Senators | 56c | 5,128$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.7 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Senators | 59c | 4,481$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.33 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Kraken | 43c | 4,442$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.06 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 48c | 4,204$2,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.16 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Senators | 57c | 4,020$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Senators | 57c | 3,786$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.89 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Kraken | 43c | 3,715$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.45 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -49%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kraken | 45c | 3,687$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.49 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Senators | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Kraken | 42c | 3,277$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.92 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 43c | 3,110$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.65 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Kraken | 43c | 2,810$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.3 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 50c | 2,793$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…6f88backed Senators | 57c | 2,652$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken | 27c | 2,453$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.31 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Senators | 57c | 2,447$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.37 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Senators | 57c | 2,439$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…e0fbbacked Senators | 57c | 2,437$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.98 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Senators | 4c | 2,142$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.32 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 43c | 2,064$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.23 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Senators | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kraken | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Kraken | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Senators | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Senators | 57c | 1,834$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.62 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6372…dbebbacked Senators | 57c | 1,606$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84d…9714backed Kraken | 44c | 1,606$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked Senators | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Senators | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c02…3c15backed Kraken | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 52c | 1,345$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.71 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…dc22backed Senators | 57c | 1,280$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.35 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Kraken | 43c | 1,210$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.3 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Senators | 57c | 1,200$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Senators | 57c | 1,196$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.41 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Senators | 57c | 1,117$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.48 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Senators | 57c | 1,089$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.85 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…ab18backed Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 42c | 1,000$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…61b1backed Kraken | 43c | 988.37$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 69c | 983.26$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.84 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Kraken | 41c | 965.57$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.88 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Senators | 58c | 950$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…7e90backed Kraken | 42c | 900$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddac…f8d8backed Senators | 58c | 900$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 58c | 750$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7c…08a5backed Kraken | 44c | 749$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Senators | 57c | 748$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.35 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Senators | 59c | 744$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.04 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 41c | 699.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.99 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kraken | 40c | 690$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.3 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…171cbacked Senators | 58c | 683.91$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.91 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…8a9fbacked Senators | 78c | 644.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Kraken | 54c | 639.2$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.2 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Senators | 59c | 620$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.2 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Senators | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Senators | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Kraken | 43c | 585.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Senators | 56c | 552.73$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35af…44f3backed Kraken | 43c | 546.05$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.8 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 41c | 544.17$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.11 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Senators | 32c | 498$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.37 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Kraken | 41c | 487$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…be26backed Kraken | 44c | 482$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…6ccbbacked Senators | 57c | 482$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Senators | 57c | 416$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Kraken | 55c | 408.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kraken | 42c | 396$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 41c | 392.44$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.9 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Senatorsthis page
- Kraken vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.