Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7bdfa2d7ae3b82c5e4a06827cb4903c2d2eeeb0fc9a0c433db26e3ea79791c6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 55c | 13,178$7,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,955.83 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 45c | 6,676$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.42 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Yes | 55c | 5,037$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,276.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Yes | 55c | 4,950$2,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked No | 46c | 4,730$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 48c | 3,183$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 44c | 2,886$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.09 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 56c | 2,633$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.73 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 2,345$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.88 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 47c | 2,141$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 48c | 1,929$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 71c | 1,794$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.53 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 61c | 1,788$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.68 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 1,554$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.51 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 62c | 1,426$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.66 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 37c | 1,377$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.08 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 1,078$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.02 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 40c | 1,077$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.34 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 46c | 1,071$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.78 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6231…3f29backed No | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 41c | 878.89$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.78 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 53c | 849.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.06 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 67c | 805$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.65 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 65c | 802$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.07 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked Yes | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8734…2e6cbacked Yes | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 47c | 650$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked No | 46c | 615.12$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed No | 42c | 601.51$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 5c | 599.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 55c | 594.46$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.14 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 52c | 455.61$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 54c | 441$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…c48dbacked Yes | 52c | 404.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…ba8bbacked Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 45c | 399.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…57d6backed Yes | 60c | 348$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked No | 34c | 325$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 65c | 317.34$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d70…b17ebacked Yes | 51c | 315.49$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 47c | 308.39$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.94 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 53c | 254.92$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed No | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 37c | 226.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Yes | 54c | 225.65$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…d296backed Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…409fbacked No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…2f34backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…6327backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f84…f1c4backed No | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0148backed Yes | 55c | 190.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…8ff9backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee7…f032backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed No | 46c | 178.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…5747backed Yes | 57c | 169.12$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 55c | 154.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 46c | 151.04$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…d1a2backed Yes | 53c | 137.93$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…6566backed No | 45c | 134.87$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 53c | 130.16$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6899…6853backed No | 45c | 122.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 43c | 122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed No | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…cba8backed Yes | 57c | 104.57$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…40b6backed Yes | 52c | 104.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5050…9a6fbacked Yes | 53c | 102.45$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3602…b407backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c27…8201backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7559…357fbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf2…3aa4backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0a…94c9backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3344…3c53backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e76…73d1backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 53c | 90.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…ef60backed Yes | 57c | 90.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-09-19?this page
- Will FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-19?No won
- Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC St. Pauli end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.