TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$824,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$850,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $824,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd25c…4d20backed Yes45c637,746$284,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353,157.392100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+137.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No55c200,000$110,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109,999.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No56c136,691$76,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76,041.0693252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No55c53,033$29,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,168.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No56c50,000$27,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,849.9616045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No43c33,206$14,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,316.896942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No56c31,033$17,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,241.8568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c30,486$15,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,541.192,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c24,454$13,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,680.2398544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No55c19,903$10,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,951.0152748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No44c15,509$6,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,767.11,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No56c10,733$5,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,973.79350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No56c10,020$5,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,610.799150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No57c8,716$4,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,926.896744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed No56c8,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4402941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked No56c7,000$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed No56c6,215$3,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,468540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No55c5,693$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,149.99652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.995653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe15…b171backed Yes45c3,570$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No56c3,500$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9602240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes44c3,100$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7369631.3%30 W · 66 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6804040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No55c3,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6508251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9714249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No2c2,852$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4434643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No24c2,832$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.7820431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No14c2,609$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No54c2,435$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.93259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes46c2,391$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,291.310650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes45c2,242$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No56c1,981$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.6317543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes70c1,808$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.225967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed No58c1,800$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.92924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00033357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No55c1,563$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.655446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes43c1,500$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85536630.9%113 W · 253 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c1,407$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.6535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No56c1,318$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.0822348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No56c1,300$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.2640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No56c1,167$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.2822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc2b…4564backed No57c1,159$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-73.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes45c1,115$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.4810940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No55c1,091$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Yes45c1,009$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.897145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55022237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked Yes46c1,000$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5451020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-57%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701540%6 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No55c964.85$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.6740447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes42c892.15$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.34366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes44c818.18$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.189046.7%42 W · 48 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No56c800$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938e…3fb0backed No56c720$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+57.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a9c…c9aebacked Yes45c665.95$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.273148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No49c589.11$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.1459240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed Yes45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752250%11 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfece…940bbacked Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.86949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2807749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Yes45c499.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2752030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes73c486$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.038139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No25c454.56$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4617529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c450$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.525556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25218459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No56c450$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25212048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed No47c424.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e4…5e4ebacked Yes45c404.44$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.442552%13 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed No60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No55c400$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes45c393.14$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.2326046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes44c387.95$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.253357.6%19 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+44.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked No57c376$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.725030%15 W · 35 L-10.6wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-50.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No18c371.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3324238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f4…43e5backed No57c361.76$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No55c360$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19816851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa171…2693backed No57c359.55$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No56c356.52$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.5223353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd207…6c38backed No57c353.49$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc766…5ffebacked Yes44c353.44$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63e8…7956backed Yes44c348.57$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No56c348.47$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1443058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ee9…8c61backed Yes44c348.42$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes44c345.57$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.573663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ba0…ad75backed No57c340.87$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes42c329.84$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.842025%5 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…258fbacked Yes44c329.18$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked No56c321.25$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.92236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No13c320.97$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0628931.8%92 W · 197 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No46c317.8$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.565935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No56c315.83$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.8621445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No54c311.65$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.4849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1688948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16828556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16512253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa543…d86ebacked No57c299.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.99450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.