Serie A · resolved market
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04067d74f5957714704fd2d306d79bc45d18ba43099f59cd7b37e1332a5cdedf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 21,859$16,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,246.06 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 24c | 15,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 7,633$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.92 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 76c | 6,758$5,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2b…4564backed No | 75c | 5,217$3,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 4,100$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.19 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 2,478$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.31 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,817$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.26 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Yes | 24c | 1,490$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 75c | 1,460$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.23 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,231$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…700cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,043$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 2c | 921.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 24c | 641.67$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | 0%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 22c | 601.34$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.02 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 77c | 599.99$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 17c | 510$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 22c | 350$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 76c | 330$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 23c | 306$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.59 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Yes | 22c | 288.27$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 9c | 238.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 242 | 38.4%93 W · 149 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 22c | 234$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 77c | 160.18$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 78c | 159$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 118.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 157 | 55.4%87 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 24c | 99.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 91.75$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 25c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 77c | 63.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 23c | 57.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 76c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Yes | 27c | 54.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 75c | 45.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 75c | 35.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed No | 77c | 31.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 76c | 25.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe13d…9ddabacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 77c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 76c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-31?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.