Serie A · resolved market
Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd47ab7a4245f22f23ccf9f94d65a0fab62a3ba5a3317be2af0a60c3e7f41b60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 10,208$8,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.76 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed07…886abacked No | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 8,454$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.51 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 69c | 6,100$4,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.08 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 32c | 5,971$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.84 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 4,654$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.8 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 32c | 3,481$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.92 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 68c | 3,087$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.72 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 31c | 2,817$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.91 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked No | 69c | 2,380$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 1,534$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.32 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…da18backed No | 67c | 1,531$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 1,143$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 69c | 958.7$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 68c | 473$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.36 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed No | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f5…700cbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 324.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 68c | 225.29$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 67c | 179.03$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 314 | 41.4%130 W · 184 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 17c | 166.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 91 | 24.2%22 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 67c | 164.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…f9e0backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 24c | 96.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 68c | 88.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 331 | 44.7%148 W · 183 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 69c | 75.26$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 67c | 69.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 67.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 31c | 53.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 32c | 32.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…4f81backed No | 68c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Hellas Verona FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-01-31?Yes won
- Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.