MLB · resolved market
Cubs vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b028a53b73e378036269a45ef78db7da4c0c0555ad18e3c88bcd6dc5c43851a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Cubs, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cubs | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.97 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Pirates | 47c | 8,859$4,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,142.14 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 14c | 8,272$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.77 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Pirates | 48c | 8,229$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.84 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cubs | 52c | 6,664$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.52 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pirates | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.87 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Pirates | 47c | 4,026$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.03 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Cubs | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Pirates | 48c | 3,436$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.09 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 48c | 2,962$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Pirates | 48c | 2,920$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cubs | 53c | 2,715$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.82 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cubs | 57c | 2,476$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.14 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Cubs | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.84 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs | 51c | 2,154$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.56 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Pirates | 49c | 2,144$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.56 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Pirates | 48c | 2,072$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Cubs | 52c | 2,000$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cubs | 53c | 1,866$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.92 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Pirates | 49c | 1,812$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Cubs | 53c | 1,128$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Pirates | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Cubs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Cubs | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ba…e848backed Cubs | 53c | 901$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…14ffbacked Pirates | 48c | 899$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cubs | 54c | 889.04$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.3 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs | 54c | 886.92$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.98 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Pirates | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 47c | 811.12$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.23 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 45c | 799.95$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pirates | 22c | 766.59$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cubs | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cubs | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cubs | 53c | 754$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.38 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Cubs | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Cubs | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 8c | 712.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Cubs | 50c | 705.76$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.88 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607a…38bcbacked Cubs | 53c | 702$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…f2aebacked Pirates | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Cubs | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cubs | 52c | 667.31$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.31 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Cubs | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.38 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Cubs | 53c | 600$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.25 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…65aebacked Cubs | 53c | 580$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…731bbacked Pirates | 49c | 580$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…8fb0backed Pirates | 48c | 578$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Pirates | 49c | 545$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.27 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Cubs | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…4979backed Cubs | 52c | 521.7$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Pirates | 2c | 520.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cubs | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 46c | 499.93$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.97 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Cubs | 52c | 499.9$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.95 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Cubs | 53c | 490$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Cubs | 54c | 477.06$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.45 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Pirates | 48c | 461.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.02 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03be…5493backed Pirates | 30c | 459.9$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Cubs | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.36 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Pirates | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 48c | 419.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Cubs | 53c | 417.57$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.98 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Pirates | 7c | 387$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Pirates | 49c | 376$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cubs | 53c | 338.47$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.08 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 20c | 312.43$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd5…1ea3backed Cubs | 53c | 305$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb912…51edbacked Pirates | 48c | 304$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Pirates | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x206a…8e4fbacked Cubs | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Cubs | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cubs | 52c | 270.58$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…d817backed Cubs | 80c | 251.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 47c | 250.68$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 19c | 250.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cubs | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Cubs | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Cubs | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Cubs | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…213ebacked Cubs | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.7wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cubs | 54c | 203.69$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9533…6d5fbacked Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Cubs | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked Cubs | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Cubs | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Cubs | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…961cbacked Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Pirates | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Cubs | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked Cubs | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cubs vs. Piratesthis page
- Cubs vs. Pirates: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Cubs vs. PiratesYes won
- Spread: Cubs (-1.5)Cubs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.