MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c859f45f1dfc0840f8df1d3e4a98361901fbb2217c386ffdb3d71d6ae6f8312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Cardinals, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 64c | 23,882$15,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,588.05 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 37c | 17,856$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.61 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cardinals | 18c | 17,700$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.13 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Cardinals | 6c | 5,048$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Cardinals | 36c | 5,011$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.95 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Brewers | 64c | 3,317$2,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 36c | 2,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 63c | 2,380$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.8 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 77c | 2,248$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.97 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 63c | 2,089$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.56 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Cardinals | 11c | 1,864$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 63c | 1,507$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cardinals | 7c | 1,443$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.68 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 22c | 1,336$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.28 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,334$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.58 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 36c | 1,333$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.71 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Brewers | 63c | 1,032$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Brewers | 63c | 1,023$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.35 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cardinals | 37c | 971$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.27 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 38c | 915.79$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 5c | 840$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 37c | 774$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Brewers | 63c | 747.62$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.62 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 65c | 681.59$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 38c | 553$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.14 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 20c | 526.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 9c | 520$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Cardinals | 35c | 499.98$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Brewers | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Brewers | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Brewers | 63c | 473.79$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.3 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cardinals | 4c | 450$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 37c | 420$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Cardinals | 38c | 373.2$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.82 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 64c | 329.69$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.69 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Cardinals | 32c | 315$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 37c | 275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Brewers | 64c | 265.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 63c | 258.73$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Brewers | 64c | 250.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.99 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…1fc0backed Brewers | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Brewers | 65c | 215.69$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.69 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Cardinals | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cardinals | 36c | 206.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Brewers | 64c | 201.73$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Cardinals | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Brewers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Brewers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Brewers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Brewers | 67c | 158.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Brewers | 63c | 157.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Brewers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Brewers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Brewers | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Brewers | 64c | 117.19$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Brewers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Cardinals | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Cardinals | 36c | 92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Brewers | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Brewers | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…e281backed Brewers | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Brewers | 63c | 79.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 78.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…a9e7backed Brewers | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe892…8cfbbacked Brewers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked Brewers | 63c | 76.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Cardinals | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Brewers | 63c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95a6…8080backed Cardinals | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…a752backed Brewers | 64c | 64.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Cardinals | 34c | 61.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Cardinals | 36c | 57.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Brewers | 79c | 57.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cardinals | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…a09bbacked Brewers | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…5b12backed Cardinals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Cardinals | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…dc25backed Cardinals | 37c | 50.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…c0cfbacked Brewers | 64c | 50.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cardinals | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Brewers | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1f…8f72backed Cardinals | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Brewers | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Brewers | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Brewers | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Brewersthis page
- Cardinals vs. Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Brewers (-1.5)Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.