TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cubs vs. Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cubsof Cubs, Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$454,372
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$460,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $454,372 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Braves51c349,797$179,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179,741.8438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Cubs48c112,200$53,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,34411759%69 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Cubs50c51,630$25,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,674.135952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0549…c052backed Cubs49c42,688$20,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,770.767651.3%39 W · 37 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Cubs50c25,864$12,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,060.0438047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Cubs49c25,000$12,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,75025453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Braves51c21,618$11,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,025.036547.7%31 W · 34 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cubs55c21,018$11,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,537.11,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Cubs49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cubs48c17,648$8,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,170.841,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Cubs48c12,500$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,50030255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Braves51c11,514$5,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,872.1348254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Braves44c10,493$4,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,622.9133845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cubs49c7,600$3,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8761,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Cubs48c7,500$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,87556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Cubs49c6,365$3,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.363152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cubs53c6,347$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.961,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Cubs55c6,137$3,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.6935854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Cubs49c5,714$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,914.1926056.5%147 W · 113 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cubs49c4,590$2,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,340.91,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Braves39c3,626$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.2121847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Braves51c2,583$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.3369249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cubs50c2,454$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,220.571,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Braves35c2,432$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.259,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Braves34c2,394$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.0378445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Braves49c2,257$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.9834245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Cubs50c1,980$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9907758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x486e…c403backed Cubs59c1,876$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.193554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cubs62c1,800$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.8212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafae…4b33backed Braves49c1,216$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.84757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa501…9f0fbacked Cubs50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6004436.4%16 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf311…516bbacked Cubs51c1,163$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.87825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f8f…0a06backed Cubs51c1,137$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3d…35d0backed Cubs50c1,092$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.991369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bce…0445backed Braves49c1,084$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Cubs49c975$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.2520748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves49c893.89$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.012,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Braves50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Braves47c762.9$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.788,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Cubs57c674.94$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.291,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves39c596.74$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.974,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Cubs66c590$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3626650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Braves48c505.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.8783248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Cubs48c496.33$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.0951347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Cubs62c488.17$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.4176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Braves49c441.44$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.311,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x029b…1f75backed Braves50c437.6$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.81973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x2528…bfc1backed Cubs51c437.55$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick47cpaid-72%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Cubs50c433$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.538956.8%221 W · 168 L-0.7wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Braves51c411.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21057744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Braves50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Cubs48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20895850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Braves49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19627733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Braves50c395$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.517946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Cubs51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1626055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Cubs49c345.14$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0214055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Cubs66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.037556%42 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Cubs66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcf…5cb5backed Braves50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-20.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Braves36c275.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5270841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Cubs59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.513138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfa1…80f8backed Braves51c233.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.33714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x834b…a37ebacked Cubs52c205.77$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.772263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Cubs50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb39e…5182backed Cubs50c202$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019639.6%38 W · 58 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Braves51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cubs50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42e8…e4e6backed Braves50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Cubs50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010041%41 W · 59 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cubs50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Cubs51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9878454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Cubs65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Braves49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Cubs51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0861346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cubs51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Braves51c196$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9624346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ec5…b23bbacked Braves22c181.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves51c180.1$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.851,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Braves50c168$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8499951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Cubs48c163.92$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2438751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Braves51c154.9$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbc5…53c3backed Cubs50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Braves50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Braves23c138$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Cubs51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2521753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Cubs51c137.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2310952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Cubs58c135.65$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1315033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Cubs60c127.93$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.662,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4591…d19ebacked Cubs51c126.55$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0114146.1%65 W · 76 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Braves46c126.37$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.61233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Cubs51c116.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.911,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Cubs49c110$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.118446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae1…5fb0backed Cubs50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Braves31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3145732.2%147 W · 310 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Braves50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043153.6%231 W · 200 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Cubs54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.556440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Cubs49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6735245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…b3e8backed Braves50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5029145.4%132 W · 159 L+15.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Cubs51c98.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0710154.5%55 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Cubs68c90.29$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.156,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.