MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78689d6111a1d2e9f02f9f618e2773056a7d57c317c621480ceb141aefd67dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 57c | 17,709$10,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.85 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rockies | 17c | 14,094$2,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.97 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies | 43c | 12,183$5,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,238.69 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rockies | 43c | 5,903$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.29 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 26c | 5,230$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rockies | 44c | 4,883$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.65 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Rockies | 44c | 4,063$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 56c | 3,464$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 4c | 2,769$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 20c | 2,673$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Marlins | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies | 4c | 2,621$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Marlins | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Marlins | 56c | 2,179$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 57c | 2,151$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.61 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Rockies | 13c | 1,803$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.98 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Marlins | 57c | 1,519$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.24 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockies | 43c | 1,485$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.69 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Marlins | 74c | 1,219$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.34 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3219…4f05backed Rockies | 43c | 1,208$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.44 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rockies | 12c | 1,199$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rockies | 44c | 1,127$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 23c | 1,101$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.89 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rockies | 44c | 1,057$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.08 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockies | 43c | 1,050$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.51 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Marlins | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 42c | 952$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.84 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rockies | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Marlins | 57c | 875$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.25 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies | 41c | 803.2$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.09 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Marlins | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rockies | 43c | 700.36$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.23 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Marlins | 53c | 600$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.92 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Marlins | 56c | 580$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.2 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Marlins | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rockies | 11c | 546.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Marlins | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Marlins | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Marlins | 56c | 447.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.11 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Rockies | 45c | 403.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rockies | 27c | 400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Marlins | 57c | 399$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.57 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3e…e822backed Rockies | 43c | 371.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rockies | 45c | 353.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.13 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…7c07backed Marlins | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Marlins | 56c | 333.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.74 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Rockies | 45c | 297.4$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.38 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Rockies | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rockies | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Rockies | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9023…54bbbacked Marlins | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…ee03backed Marlins | 61c | 230$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 44c | 215.29$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marlins | 56c | 207.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c50…d3fdbacked Marlins | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4fec…fc7bbacked Rockies | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 102 | 2.9%3 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Marlins | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Marlins | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Marlins | 58c | 187.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Marlins | 55c | 182.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.93 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Marlins | 58c | 175.86$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marlins | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…c62dbacked Marlins | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Marlins | 55c | 164.04$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Marlins | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Marlins | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791c…7910backed Marlins | 62c | 136.37$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Marlins | 57c | 119.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Rockies | 44c | 105.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rockies | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Marlins | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Rockies | 21c | 95.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Marlins | 53c | 94.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 57c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Rockies | 22c | 91.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…466dbacked Rockies | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Rockies | 43c | 88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Marlins | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Rockies | 43c | 77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Marlins | 56c | 76.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Marlins | 55c | 73.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies | 42c | 70.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4580…a1c6backed Marlins | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Rockies | 45c | 66.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Marlins | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Marlins | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockies | 19c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Rockies | 44c | 57.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Marlins | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Marlins | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Marlins | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffbc…b889backed Marlins | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Marlins | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Marlins | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Marlins | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Marlins vs. Rockiesthis page
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.