MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xceaed4bde3a06349fb63a9690255273109d739eae92d8733d478ab9827badedb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Athletics | 52c | 42,600$22,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,152 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Red Sox | 48c | 37,097$17,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,290.53 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 48c | 35,555$17,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,488.6 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 48c | 23,100$11,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,981 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Athletics | 52c | 20,962$10,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,900 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 51c | 17,158$8,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,741.82 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Athletics | 52c | 16,756$8,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,713.34 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Red Sox | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Athletics | 52c | 11,694$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,080.84 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 16c | 9,651$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.65 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 50c | 7,001$3,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,476.11 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 50c | 4,783$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.58 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Red Sox | 50c | 3,616$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.64 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 64c | 3,500$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.97 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 51c | 3,318$1,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 51c | 3,260$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.59 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Red Sox | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 57c | 2,419$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Athletics | 50c | 1,860$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,799$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Athletics | 14c | 1,671$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 13c | 1,632$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Red Sox | 52c | 1,317$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.31 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 50c | 1,075$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.11 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Athletics | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Sox | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Athletics | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Athletics | 51c | 975$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.25 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Athletics | 51c | 800.41$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.21 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 51c | 784$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.16 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Athletics | 52c | 775$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.67 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Athletics | 40c | 755.5$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Red Sox | 49c | 736.41$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.57 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Athletics | 52c | 520.02$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.98 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Red Sox | 48c | 496.33$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.09 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 50c | 441$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Athletics | 49c | 414$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Red Sox | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed Red Sox | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.24 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 331.55$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 21c | 319$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.78 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Athletics | 49c | 287.76$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Red Sox | 49c | 283.18$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Red Sox | 77c | 250$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Athletics | 49c | 238.71$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.97 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Sox | 49c | 207$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 49c | 202.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 51c | 201.96$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Athletics | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Red Sox | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Red Sox | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Athletics | 41c | 159$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 64c | 151.11$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Red Sox | 68c | 147.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Red Sox | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Red Sox | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Red Sox | 51c | 121.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670f…3f29backed Athletics | 50c | 112$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Athletics | 22c | 107.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed Athletics | 13c | 103.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Red Sox | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Red Sox | 51c | 93.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 48c | 92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…aef4backed Athletics | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Athletics | 52c | 80.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Red Sox | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Athletics | 52c | 63.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…3f95backed Athletics | 50c | 60.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…88c5backed Athletics | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…6bcfbacked Red Sox | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7007…5864backed Red Sox | 51c | 53.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Red Sox | 50c | 50.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Red Sox | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8472…1955backed Athletics | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Athletics | 52c | 45.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Red Sox | 50c | 44.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9600…e44ebacked Red Sox | 51c | 43.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…c707backed Athletics | 50c | 43.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Red Sox | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Sox | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Red Sox | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6642…c051backed Red Sox | 51c | 40.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Athletics | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2f6fbacked Athletics | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…72b9backed Red Sox | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Athletics | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…307bbacked Red Sox | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…743cbacked Red Sox | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Athleticsthis page
- Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.