MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9495f5d8f1f9158309c766af571ade2ca4fc1bb4f44ed1c7cb292582e87ceebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Brewers, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $736,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $729,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $736,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 646 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers | 46c | 237,789$109,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,769.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Brewers | 54c | 185,130$99,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,970.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 55c | 82,008$45,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,386.9 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 41c | 70,070$28,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,663.09 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Brewers | 54c | 48,610$26,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,222.53 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Rangers | 45c | 40,000$17,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,165.11 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Rangers | 46c | 37,753$17,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,259.05 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rangers | 46c | 28,158$12,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,286.02 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 46c | 27,419$12,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,806.47 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…ee63backed Brewers | 54c | 18,511$9,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Rangers | 57c | 18,063$10,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,714.43 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Rangers | 46c | 16,875$7,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,112.35 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Rangers | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Brewers | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,399.91 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Brewers | 55c | 14,877$8,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,145.26 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 70c | 14,119$9,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,195.55 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers | 55c | 11,039$6,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,071.29 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Brewers | 15c | 9,944$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.95 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rangers | 65c | 9,457$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.87 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Brewers | 54c | 9,255$4,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997.51 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Brewers | 54c | 9,074$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.05 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Brewers | 58c | 8,090$4,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,688 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 54c | 6,400$3,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.99 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 45c | 5,950$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.74 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rangers | 45c | 5,755$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.33 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Rangers | 46c | 5,021$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,711.33 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Brewers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Rangers | 46c | 4,341$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 22c | 4,130$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…2182backed Brewers | 55c | 4,010$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Brewers | 59c | 4,000$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.77 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers | 28c | 3,943$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rangers | 45c | 3,935$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.27 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Brewers | 54c | 3,921$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.34 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Rangers | 47c | 3,899$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.39 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Brewers | 20c | 3,673$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.31 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 46c | 3,480$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Rangers | 44c | 3,272$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.27 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Rangers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Brewers | 58c | 2,601$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.59 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rangers | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Brewers | 53c | 2,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rangers | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.99 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers | 46c | 2,470$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.8 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Brewers | 33c | 2,142$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.96 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 60c | 2,047$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.78 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Brewers | 56c | 1,929$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Brewers | 32c | 1,875$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Brewers | 56c | 1,785$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.93 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Brewers | 38c | 1,681$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.17 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Brewers | 54c | 1,658$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.38 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 55c | 1,581$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Brewers | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Brewers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Brewers | 56c | 1,485$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.61 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Brewers | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Brewers | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 43c | 999.98$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rangers | 43c | 995.36$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.36 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Brewers | 53c | 987$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.11 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rangers | 43c | 929.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Brewers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 44c | 881.5$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.88 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rangers | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 54c | 799.99$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Brewers | 54c | 772.22$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Brewers | 47c | 721.87$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.28 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Brewers | 57c | 699.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Brewers | 54c | 666$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.64 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Brewers | 53c | 655.56$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Rangers | 46c | 652.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.16 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Brewers | 55c | 525.29$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.91 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Brewers | 54c | 523$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.42 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rangers | 44c | 506.63$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Rangers | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rangers | 44c | 482.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.04 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rangers | 43c | 469.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.89 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Brewers | 55c | 469.09$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Brewers | 61c | 462.28$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Brewers | 19c | 456.46$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Rangers | 46c | 456$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.24 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Brewers | 54c | 455.63$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.04 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Rangers | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Brewers | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…9d85backed Brewers | 33c | 442.7$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Brewers | 55c | 436.36$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rangers | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rangers | 47c | 412.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.61 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brewers | 72c | 412.25$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rangers | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Brewers | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Brewers | 56c | 395.75$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.62 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Brewers | 48c | 394.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.23 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…6b44backed Brewers | 19c | 372.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Rangersthis page
- Brewers vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Brewers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.