MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c71dde4e19eed64659a8840f3228d668a8817068c00d2146b26cc7435455440
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $264,797
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,797 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Reds | 38c | 120,555$45,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,819.74 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 62c | 57,663$35,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,751.06 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 62c | 47,500$29,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,514.87 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 61c | 32,173$19,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,547.09 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Reds | 38c | 20,244$7,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,551.31 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 61c | 12,239$7,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,461.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 62c | 10,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 60c | 9,170$5,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,540.67 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Reds | 51c | 8,390$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,113.98 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 40c | 8,318$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,984.68 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Reds | 38c | 7,216$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,473.92 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Reds | 37c | 6,459$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.38 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 67c | 6,096$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.75 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Reds | 46c | 4,964$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.05 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Reds | 44c | 4,859$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.41 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Padres | 38c | 4,167$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.52 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Reds | 36c | 3,891$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,490.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Padres | 63c | 3,671$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Reds | 39c | 3,575$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.58 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…d6a9backed Padres | 64c | 3,301$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.64 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 62c | 2,117$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.49 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Padres | 59c | 2,000$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.07 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Padres | 63c | 1,987$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 62c | 1,740$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.17 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 37c | 1,680$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.23 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Reds | 61c | 1,670$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.23 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 39c | 1,626$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.36 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 58c | 1,606$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.82 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Reds | 63c | 1,586$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.71 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Padres | 64c | 1,398$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b23bbacked Reds | 50c | 1,337$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.01 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 64c | 1,335$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Padres | 32c | 1,259$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.01 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Reds | 36c | 1,234$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.73 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Padres | 62c | 1,209$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.58 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Reds | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.02 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Padres | 61c | 1,033$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.89 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Reds | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Padres | 62c | 975$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.5 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Reds | 36c | 965$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.6 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 63c | 854.05$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.05 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Reds | 37c | 854.05$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.05 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Reds | 48c | 766$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Reds | 36c | 708$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.12 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Padres | 54c | 656$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.56 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Padres | 8c | 599.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Padres | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 60c | 555$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.7 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 39c | 502.55$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Padres | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 42c | 478.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.77 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…4bd3backed Padres | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Padres | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Padres | 58c | 413.79$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…0f74backed Padres | 64c | 393.75$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Reds | 46c | 386.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.58 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed Padres | 63c | 348.71$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 63c | 337.1$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.89 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd254…80a2backed Padres | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 70c | 285.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Reds | 37c | 269$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 64c | 262.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Reds | 68c | 227.84$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.91 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Padres | 69c | 215.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Padres | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Reds | 38c | 197.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.37 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Reds | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Padres | 63c | 171$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Padres | 61c | 169$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.57 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Padres | 60c | 166.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Padres | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Reds | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Reds | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Reds | 37c | 135.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Reds | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Padres | 64c | 123.44$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Reds | 67c | 121.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Padres | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 63c | 118.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Padres | 61c | 102.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Padres | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…b26dbacked Padres | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Padres | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Padres | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Reds | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Padres | 62c | 99.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Reds | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Reds | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ea…f31cbacked Reds | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Padres | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 64c | 81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Padres | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Reds vs. Padresthis page
- NRFI: Reds vs. PadresNo won
- Reds vs. Padres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Padres (-1.5)Reds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.