MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70690991c773bcc28334fc3d27906e50718bcf5c40bb1fb23fda5539e9b2878c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Cardinals, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 62c | 104,450$64,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,691.02 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 37,610$14,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,221.03 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 38c | 32,000$12,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,160 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Brewers | 60c | 25,152$15,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,058.51 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cardinals | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cardinals | 37c | 15,555$5,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.33 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals | 55c | 14,664$8,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,105.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Brewers | 61c | 10,655$6,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,155.31 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 47c | 8,238$3,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.49 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Brewers | 31c | 5,478$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,762.4 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Cardinals | 40c | 5,009$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.6 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 37c | 3,624$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Brewers | 60c | 3,509$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.6 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Cardinals | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 39c | 3,000$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.98 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 52c | 2,889$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cardinals | 51c | 2,889$1,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.21 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Brewers | 62c | 2,850$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.74 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 62c | 2,823$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.58 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3264…0de7backed Cardinals | 37c | 2,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Brewers | 78c | 2,246$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.06 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cardinals | 39c | 2,050$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.5 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 41c | 1,866$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.7 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Brewers | 5c | 1,859$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.19 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cardinals | 40c | 1,695$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.92 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Brewers | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 1,350$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.78 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91a…c6b8backed Cardinals | 56c | 1,305$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.74 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,234$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.26 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,229$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Cardinals | 56c | 1,180$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.13 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals | 39c | 1,113$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.7 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 57c | 1,112$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.34 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Brewers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Cardinals | 41c | 975.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Brewers | 61c | 965$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.02 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cardinals | 42c | 960.07$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cardinals | 39c | 898$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.22 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 57c | 826.84$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…b73abacked Brewers | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cardinals | 54c | 777.98$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.71 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Brewers | 10c | 729.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.45 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 39c | 716$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.24 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Brewers | 42c | 714.47$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.98 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Brewers | 60c | 628$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.16 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Brewers | 3c | 600$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Brewers | 6c | 592.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.17 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 38c | 528.67$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.89 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Cardinals | 45c | 521.46$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Brewers | 59c | 503.22$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Cardinals | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbb…3607backed Brewers | 58c | 499.99$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 40c | 499.52$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Cardinals | 42c | 477$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 58c | 476.82$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.79 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Cardinals | 79c | 471.63$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.65 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Brewers | 60c | 469.15$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Brewers | 60c | 424.86$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Brewers | 35c | 379.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.74 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Cardinals | 70c | 378.26$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Brewers | 63c | 310.86$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers | 52c | 301.66$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed Brewers | 60c | 296.85$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 65c | 294.08$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Cardinals | 63c | 276.22$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.88 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Brewers | 53c | 275.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.95 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 261.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 56c | 258.73$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 60c | 243.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Brewers | 56c | 218.13$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Brewers | 60c | 203.33$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Brewers | 33c | 201.59$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.41 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cardinals | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…9133backed Brewers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Cardinals | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Brewers | 38c | 197.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.55 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Brewers | 60c | 187.5$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Cardinals | 41c | 182.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Cardinals | 67c | 167.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Brewers | 60c | 166.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Brewers | 60c | 162.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Cardinals | 39c | 160$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.08 | 255 | 48.6%124 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Brewers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Cardinals | 79c | 150$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.41 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Cardinals | 41c | 146$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff52…e92dbacked Cardinals | 75c | 145$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Cardinals | 51c | 143.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Brewersthis page
- Cardinals vs. Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.