MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d274ae7e47f66df760b86c19f306def8e1a8571251466a527834ff8fad016d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Angels, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,370,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,358,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,370,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels | 39c | 1,229,440$474,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474,078.99 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 62c | 1,010,366$624,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385,612.37 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Angels | 38c | 645,867$245,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245,429.3 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 62c | 336,786$208,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,978.68 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 61c | 166,289$101,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,852.68 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mariners | 61c | 108,035$65,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,133.84 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 61c | 68,288$41,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,384.58 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 62c | 57,000$35,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,860 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 63c | 54,320$34,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,847.29 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,000 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Angels | 37c | 42,191$15,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,610.53 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels | 38c | 39,674$14,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,944.05 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Mariners | 62c | 39,600$24,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,048 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Angels | 39c | 36,857$14,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,322.33 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Angels | 38c | 33,819$12,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,768.71 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 65c | 20,201$13,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,165.61 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Angels | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Mariners | 63c | 19,440$12,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,192.7 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Angels | 37c | 18,633$6,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,819.2 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 62c | 18,316$11,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,906.84 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 63c | 15,845$9,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,901.86 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Angels | 39c | 11,500$4,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,481.58 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Mariners | 62c | 10,781$6,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.78 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Mariners | 63c | 10,000$6,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,749.59 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Mariners | 63c | 8,110$5,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,996.3 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 62c | 7,935$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,053.5 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Angels | 38c | 5,006$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 27c | 4,649$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.49 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 62c | 4,488$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.44 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Angels | 46c | 3,854$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Mariners | 64c | 3,664$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.04 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Angels | 39c | 3,600$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Mariners | 62c | 3,527$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.67 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Mariners | 62c | 3,411$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.18 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…1440backed Angels | 36c | 3,376$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.63 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Angels | 24c | 2,620$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.6 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Mariners | 62c | 2,581$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.65 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 68c | 2,574$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.17 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mariners | 62c | 2,222$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.36 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 63c | 2,171$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.75 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Angels | 23c | 2,069$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.78 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Angels | 37c | 1,971$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.25 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 63c | 1,405$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.85 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Angels | 37c | 1,400$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Angels | 38c | 1,334$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.92 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 61c | 1,305$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.12 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2f45backed Angels | 39c | 1,151$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Mariners | 62c | 1,098$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.24 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Angels | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Mariners | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.68 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Mariners | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff6…3f44backed Angels | 39c | 973$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.47 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…6a2cbacked Angels | 39c | 971.59$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Angels | 38c | 971$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.98 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mariners | 61c | 939.98$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.59 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 58c | 918.66$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.26 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 22c | 902.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Mariners | 62c | 900.6$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.23 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5c…151ebacked Mariners | 61c | 871.17$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe474…2c56backed Mariners | 61c | 870.3$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…d01fbacked Angels | 39c | 850$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…1862backed Mariners | 61c | 827.78$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…66f9backed Mariners | 61c | 817.75$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…4c02backed Angels | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Angels | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8b…fc3dbacked Mariners | 61c | 777.64$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Angels | 38c | 774$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…211bbacked Angels | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mariners | 63c | 719.6$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.25 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11b…9384backed Mariners | 61c | 711.12$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…59e4backed Angels | 15c | 683.29$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Angels | 39c | 650.31$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.62 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…27e8backed Mariners | 61c | 619.58$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Mariners | 65c | 616$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mariners | 62c | 595$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.1 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Angels | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Angels | 39c | 552.6$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.51 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 38c | 524.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Mariners | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Angels | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Angels | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Mariners | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Angels | 42c | 476.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Mariners | 74c | 420$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Angels | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Angels | 41c | 361.51$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.22 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 63c | 351.13$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…4bd3backed Mariners | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Mariners | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Angels | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels | 30c | 294.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Angels | 33c | 281.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angels vs. Marinersthis page
- Angels vs. Mariners: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Angels vs. MarinersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.