MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c0d2dc9acc3838050f1531f8810068a0f3a0c83172597df12a70a3ffa16ca44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Cardinals, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,570,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,556,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,570,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,018,435$373,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373,975.66 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 63c | 788,611$497,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290,640.59 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Cardinals | 37c | 318,007$117,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117,361.59 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mariners | 63c | 192,779$121,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,318.03 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 64c | 80,080$51,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,828.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 64c | 60,915$38,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,204.23 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 63c | 50,000$31,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,500 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Cardinals | 35c | 42,762$14,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,966.76 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 66c | 42,565$28,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,554.42 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 38c | 33,428$12,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,591.37 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Mariners | 66c | 29,387$19,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,016.09 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 37c | 27,368$10,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,126.3 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Mariners | 70c | 26,669$18,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,920.79 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mariners | 63c | 21,854$13,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085.98 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 64c | 17,280$11,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,206.35 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 28c | 15,137$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.09 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 63c | 15,075$9,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,557.78 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Mariners | 63c | 15,000$9,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 74c | 10,171$7,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.2 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 34c | 9,139$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,108.04 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Mariners | 65c | 8,550$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.5 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mariners | 68c | 8,131$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,572.76 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Cardinals | 12c | 7,628$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.74 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cardinals | 16c | 7,446$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.16 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Cardinals | 6c | 6,603$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Cardinals | 35c | 6,589$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.15 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 65c | 5,705$3,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.1 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 39c | 5,344$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.18 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mariners | 63c | 4,984$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.24 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 65c | 4,231$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.85 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 20c | 3,640$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.47 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mariners | 63c | 3,570$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.9 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mariners | 64c | 3,200$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners | 65c | 2,791$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.19 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 65c | 2,754$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.15 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 13c | 2,666$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Mariners | 64c | 2,201$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.28 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 64c | 2,113$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.68 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 74c | 1,946$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.94 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e9…0501backed Cardinals | 35c | 1,754$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.9 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cardinals | 36c | 1,700$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.99 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Cardinals | 20c | 1,601$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.03 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 49c | 1,482$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,352$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mariners | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.47 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mariners | 63c | 1,271$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Cardinals | 46c | 1,237$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.12 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 65c | 1,106$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.1 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Mariners | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…0f74backed Mariners | 58c | 1,008$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mariners | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Cardinals | 60c | 1,000$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.9 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed Mariners | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Cardinals | 38c | 738$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.44 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Mariners | 53c | 726.28$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.35 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 76c | 678.22$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 65c | 614.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.24 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mariners | 64c | 572$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.92 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cardinals | 24c | 548.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 8c | 523.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…a37ebacked Mariners | 65c | 521.33$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 51c | 507.8$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Mariners | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…4bd3backed Mariners | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Mariners | 67c | 445.87$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.14 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Cardinals | 23c | 416.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…80f8backed Cardinals | 37c | 413.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners | 68c | 405.76$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Mariners | 65c | 396.83$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.89 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Cardinals | 8c | 368.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…1cedbacked Cardinals | 37c | 364.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.9 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Mariners | 66c | 334.91$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 66c | 328.98$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 66c | 318.18$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 65c | 307.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Cardinals | 37c | 270.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…b33dbacked Cardinals | 39c | 269.23$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 11c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Mariners | 65c | 249.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 36c | 236.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Mariners | 72c | 220.88$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mariners | 64c | 207$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Mariners | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Cardinals | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Cardinals | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Mariners | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Mariners | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mariners | 65c | 133.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Cardinals | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 11c | 123.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mariners | 66c | 120.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.08 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Marinersthis page
- Cardinals vs. Mariners: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.