MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c3ff52c8e4c8b57143772433ee48e9b4e05ee11cb265f2d492080f03fe19c09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Rockies, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Padres | 57c | 39,625$22,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,632.97 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 29c | 15,386$4,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,924.04 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rockies | 29c | 11,440$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,123.13 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Padres | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Padres | 5c | 9,973$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.32 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 51c | 9,080$4,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,619.7 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 32c | 7,752$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…7f76backed Rockies | 30c | 5,007$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,504.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Padres | 70c | 5,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.99 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 20c | 4,994$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.53 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 29c | 4,452$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160.89 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 71c | 3,147$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.47 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7552…320dbacked Padres | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rockies | 28c | 2,205$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.58 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Rockies | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rockies | 30c | 1,334$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.8 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rockies | 30c | 1,333$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Padres | 72c | 1,291$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.8 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rockies | 31c | 1,177$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.42 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 22c | 1,046$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.42 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Rockies | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…59e4backed Padres | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Padres | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Rockies | 26c | 999.96$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Rockies | 29c | 940$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.4 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…4c06backed Padres | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +6.2wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…4bd3backed Padres | 71c | 845.07$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 69c | 834.25$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.63 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Padres | 70c | 800$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Padres | 70c | 778.9$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.23 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Padres | 59c | 763.23$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Padres | 3c | 750$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Rockies | 77c | 629.36$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 74c | 599.97$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies | 25c | 552.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.4 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 26c | 519.56$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.22 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 73c | 502$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.42 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Padres | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 70c | 466.11$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.76 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Padres | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rockies | 26c | 419.23$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.23 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…6badbacked Rockies | 78c | 412.15$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Padres | 49c | 405.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Padres | 79c | 400$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Padres | 27c | 373.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Rockies | 27c | 300.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.22 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Padres | 71c | 281.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Padres | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…1730backed Padres | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Padres | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 63c | 274.59$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Rockies | 30c | 266$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.2 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7902…e6c6backed Rockies | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Rockies | 30c | 248.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.94 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockies | 50c | 236.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.41 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 78c | 230.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Padres | 44c | 226.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Padres | 73c | 217.24$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.59 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…dfeebacked Padres | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 88.9%24 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 68cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3049…7825backed Rockies | 78c | 197.56$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Padres | 71c | 197.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Rockies | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.31 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rockies | 61c | 185.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…bcb3backed Rockies | 29c | 175.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Padres | 71c | 173$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.36 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6721…8ff7backed Rockies | 29c | 165.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…1de0backed Rockies | 29c | 162.07$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Padres | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Padres | 71c | 142.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Padres | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Padres | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…5d2cbacked Padres | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8419…810fbacked Rockies | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f0…a193backed Padres | 75c | 135.89$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…1fc0backed Padres | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Rockies | 24c | 133.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…a9e7backed Padres | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Padres | 21c | 131$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…130cbacked Padres | 71c | 125.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Padres | 71c | 125$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.75 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…cc3abacked Rockies | 76c | 115.51$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…7c42backed Padres | 71c | 111.27$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa03f…7a5abacked Padres | 71c | 109.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b77…1cbebacked Padres | 71c | 107.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rockies | 68c | 106.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Padres | 71c | 101.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Padres | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Padres | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Padres | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…c759backed Padres | 71c | 99.96$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Padres | 22c | 97.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Padres | 72c | 97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 251 | 55.4%139 W · 112 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Padres | 16c | 89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbf…2c1dbacked Padres | 71c | 88.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 70c | 86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockies vs. Padresthis page
- NRFI: Rockies vs. PadresNo won
- Rockies vs. Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Padres (-1.5)Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.