Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea beat Crystal Palace?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ce48df226891b8526f7ae474ff6222353e661029f0e634ad68414f43336eab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,849
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,849 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x741e…2f80backed No | 42c | 14,670$6,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,456.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 61c | 7,129$4,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,370.69 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 3,491$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.18 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 39c | 3,359$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,041.36 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Yes | 64c | 3,135$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 36c | 3,032$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.36 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes | 64c | 2,650$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.99 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 24c | 1,968$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…ced1backed Yes | 64c | 1,848$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…4bc8backed Yes | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeff…f310backed Yes | 62c | 1,605$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 39c | 1,516$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.64 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 12c | 1,359$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.63 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…2676backed Yes | 60c | 1,291$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed No | 37c | 1,235$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.57 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 61c | 1,196$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.53 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,050$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 39c | 999.97$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.98 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 39c | 843.12$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41b0…529bbacked Yes | 63c | 746.57$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.34 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…0c52backed No | 45c | 586.2$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…b591backed Yes | 64c | 564.8$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Yes | 80c | 559.18$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.36per pick | 65cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5f…79dabacked No | 45c | 518.07$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +74%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Yes | 63c | 504.56$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -8.6wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 38c | 499.97$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.98 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9164…12a6backed Yes | 64c | 479.75$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 40c | 465$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.32 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4626…da6cbacked Yes | 61c | 429.25$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0847…7e16backed Yes | 61c | 427.38$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 61c | 423.85$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.55 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 40c | 420.63$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.63 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 36c | 412.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.95 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8c…45bfbacked No | 45c | 402.73$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b48…51d0backed No | 40c | 387$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x923c…34a8backed Yes | 56c | 383.02$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.48 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +565.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 60c | 380.91$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.94 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…6ae5backed No | 45c | 379.8$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1c96backed Yes | 15c | 352.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2611…038bbacked Yes | 61c | 351.34$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7881…41abbacked No | 40c | 349.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 37c | 333.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 60c | 333.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d34…083cbacked Yes | 61c | 332.21$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ce7dbacked Yes | 61c | 331.41$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaead…f797backed Yes | 61c | 305.16$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…3911backed No | 40c | 283.88$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…04c0backed No | 45c | 282.82$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…68c9backed Yes | 61c | 278.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 69cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 39c | 274$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Yes | 58c | 255.8$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.36 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3f…6a31backed Yes | 63c | 246$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c04…8d3cbacked Yes | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 58c | 229.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes | 60c | 226$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd634…2327backed Yes | 63c | 208.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…5065backed Yes | 61c | 200.36$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 37c | 186.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.23 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…4125backed No | 42c | 185.71$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07b2…0c2dbacked Yes | 63c | 183.22$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 58c | 147.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb291…0c5abacked Yes | 63c | 146.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cad…aa70backed No | 31c | 141.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9369…2782backed No | 20c | 137.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 59c | 135$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f2…1420backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked No | 58c | 132.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6b…1906backed Yes | 61c | 129.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…d15ebacked Yes | 61c | 116.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3d…ee56backed Yes | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c5…7e8bbacked Yes | 59c | 110.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…300bbacked Yes | 61c | 110.89$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e3…4698backed No | 35c | 110.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +182.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…478dbacked Yes | 51c | 109.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 64c | 109.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afc…2f6fbacked No | 45c | 104.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…c17ebacked Yes | 61c | 101.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a4…4e32backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028f…c9cbbacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…2ce6backed Yes | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…5d4ebacked Yes | 61c | 98.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d6…ee57backed No | 45c | 95.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…8923backed Yes | 61c | 85.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…35c4backed Yes | 59c | 84.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…d288backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 60c | 84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…0569backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0a…6758backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea beat Crystal Palace?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Crystal Palace beat Chelsea?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.