Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac4c616dd523a86edfbea0373fe4840afd03799f3fcc21e83e8ae9316e0ff54b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…406abacked No | 78c | 7,960$6,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,208.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Yes | 22c | 7,691$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 77c | 468.65$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.86 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…7e03backed Yes | 76c | 275.5$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 67cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked No | 18c | 254.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Yes | 75c | 233$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 20c | 212.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b2…5c57backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 12c | 175.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 25c | 151.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.43 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…8a59backed No | 80c | 125.81$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed Yes | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 22c | 90.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 76c | 86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f9…9d8ebacked Yes | 22c | 77.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…df1cbacked No | 66c | 76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 72cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2667…8334backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed Yes | 63c | 31.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 69cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 77c | 22.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea beat Crystal Palace?No won
- Will Crystal Palace beat Chelsea?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.