NFL · resolved market
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8ebe7ea7c15f4c2469fdbae4e683464ddd075a552b58ddca84b59e7968bc371
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eaglesof Eagles, Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a7…e661backed Eagles | 51c | 59,000$30,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,978 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Buccaneers | 49c | 21,868$10,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,714.88 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Buccaneers | 49c | 20,050$9,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,824.38 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Buccaneers | 50c | 9,420$4,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.3 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Eagles | 49c | 8,157$3,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.29 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buccaneers | 51c | 6,500$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,314.99 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Eagles | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Buccaneers | 50c | 5,527$2,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,763.71 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Buccaneers | 50c | 4,400$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Buccaneers | 52c | 3,942$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles | 48c | 3,263$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.75 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Eagles | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Buccaneers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Buccaneers | 49c | 1,400$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…d648backed Eagles | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.9 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buccaneers | 49c | 1,111$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Buccaneers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Eagles | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Buccaneers | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Eagles | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed Eagles | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Buccaneers | 50c | 781$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Buccaneers | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…94cfbacked Eagles | 50c | 633.02$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Eagles | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Buccaneers | 52c | 500$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe760…1264backed Eagles | 49c | 453.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Buccaneers | 51c | 398$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.98 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Eagles | 49c | 336.65$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.69 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Buccaneers | 49c | 328.78$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.1 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Buccaneers | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Buccaneers | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Eagles | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd52d…412dbacked Eagles | 50c | 234.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Eagles | 50c | 200.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Buccaneers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Buccaneers | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Buccaneers | 49c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Buccaneers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Eagles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Eagles | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…c669backed Eagles | 50c | 199.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.93 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010d…029ebacked Buccaneers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Buccaneers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Buccaneers | 50c | 179.53$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Buccaneers | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b6…9c1fbacked Eagles | 50c | 123.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Eagles | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Eagles | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Buccaneers | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 227 | 45.4%103 W · 124 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Eagles | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Buccaneers | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Buccaneers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Buccaneers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Eagles | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…d69ebacked Eagles | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Buccaneers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Eagles | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…1dccbacked Eagles | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Eagles | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…6a01backed Eagles | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…c686backed Eagles | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1352backed Buccaneers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Buccaneers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 44.9%89 W · 109 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…2a91backed Eagles | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 105 | 49.5%52 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Buccaneers | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)this page
- Eagles vs. BuccaneersEagles won
- Eagles vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Buccaneers: O/U 43.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Buccaneers: O/U 44.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Buccaneers: O/U 47.5Over won
- Spread: Eagles (-1.5)Eagles won
- Spread: Eagles (-6.5)Buccaneers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.