Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda0ebb5abb96bb2c17a73d966922f8499553f410f257b576a4a946e03523d9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $791,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $792,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $791,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 466,911$237,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237,968.49 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Under | 49c | 300,000$147,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153,000 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 51c | 196,321$100,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,258.46 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 49c | 140,000$68,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,400 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Under | 49c | 71,909$35,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,804.68 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 50,000$24,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,750 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 49c | 29,667$14,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,123.32 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Under | 51c | 29,238$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,237.64 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 52c | 10,060$5,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,230.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 9,338$4,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,668.95 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 4,251$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 51c | 593$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 47c | 585.29$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.35 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 48c | 500$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 53c | 471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 53c | 360$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.2 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…48cfbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 199.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.5 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 47c | 149.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 50c | 104.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 50c | 83.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.64 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab3…35f3backed Under | 52c | 59.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 50c | 59.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 49c | 58.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 51c | 58.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -9.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1352backed Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c17bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State ShockersWichita State Shockers won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 143.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.