Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 143.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb38e63bcf457d5cf4dfbc7a9186977b5bfcb4089f0a50bacca8c19f4f25b6cb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $111,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 103,768$55,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,998.55 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 46c | 100,002$46,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,001 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 7,674$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,029.53 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 52c | 4,556$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.95 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 36c | 526.22$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.29 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 497$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 59c | 372.67$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.79 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 60c | 269$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 156$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 124.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 116.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.58 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 69.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 47c | 36.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 25.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 54c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 143.5this page
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State ShockersWichita State Shockers won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 142.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 144.5Under won
- Memphis Tigers vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.