MLB · resolved market
Tigers vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x928040f524522931d26f3dfc3d1afe5a63ae857d85a4ff7f412cd91d9b14ae8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tigersof Tigers, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $388,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $387,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Tigers | 40c | 175,000$69,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,749.96 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Yankees | 60c | 100,000$60,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,000 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Tigers | 40c | 64,338$25,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,861.7 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yankees | 61c | 46,000$28,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,060 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Yankees | 61c | 45,248$27,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,572.05 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yankees | 60c | 39,900$23,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,940 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Yankees | 65c | 32,008$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 36c | 30,628$10,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,716.59 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers | 39c | 25,000$9,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,250 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yankees | 54c | 15,004$8,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,038.41 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yankees | 51c | 7,891$3,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990.7 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Tigers | 46c | 5,250$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,837.07 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yankees | 55c | 5,115$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Tigers | 40c | 5,010$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 39c | 5,000$1,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,071.02 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Yankees | 60c | 4,859$2,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,937.63 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 61c | 4,048$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.22 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…4534backed Yankees | 60c | 3,502$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.2 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Yankees | 61c | 2,803$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Yankees | 14c | 2,547$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Tigers | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Tigers | 57c | 2,289$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.66 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yankees | 59c | 2,196$1,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,295.53 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Tigers | 59c | 2,026$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.55 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yankees | 55c | 1,960$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.93 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Tigers | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Yankees | 32c | 1,563$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.18 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yankees | 51c | 1,527$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.48 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed Yankees | 59c | 1,515$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yankees | 6c | 1,395$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Tigers | 39c | 1,256$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.16 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Tigers | 39c | 985$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.85 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers | 41c | 975$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.25 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Tigers | 40c | 960$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Tigers | 51c | 790$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.6 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Tigers | 39c | 737.98$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.17 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yankees | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Tigers | 40c | 600$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yankees | 60c | 590$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.03 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Tigers | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Tigers | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tigers | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Tigers | 39c | 499.99$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Tigers | 41c | 489.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.13 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Tigers | 40c | 484.65$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.79 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yankees | 46c | 468$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.52 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…24f8backed Yankees | 51c | 432.65$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tigers | 46c | 406.86$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.13 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yankees | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yankees | 60c | 397$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Tigers | 38c | 385$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yankees | 49c | 378.32$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.41 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Tigers | 40c | 351.2$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…afd7backed Yankees | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yankees | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Tigers | 38c | 307.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.62 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Tigers | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Tigers | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Tigers | 39c | 287.64$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.46 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yankees | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Yankees | 66c | 272.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yankees | 61c | 262.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tigers | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Tigers | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Tigers | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yankees | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…2194backed Yankees | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…34bcbacked Yankees | 53c | 209.52$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Tigers | 40c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Yankees | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yankees | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yankees | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Yankees | 60c | 195$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Tigers | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Yankees | 60c | 175$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Tigers | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…9be5backed Yankees | 60c | 171.67$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Yankees | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Yankees | 64c | 156.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc28e…86c8backed Yankees | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Tigers | 60c | 149.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Tigers | 41c | 143.9$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Yankees | 61c | 136.07$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Tigers | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yankees | 60c | 125$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yankees | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yankees | 61c | 105.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.15 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…5cb5backed Yankees | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yankees | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Tigers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yankees | 59c | 97.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc92…7505backed Yankees | 11c | 97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yankees | 54c | 95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Tigers | 40c | 92.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yankees | 61c | 91.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yankees | 26c | 90.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…abb6backed Yankees | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yankees | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigers vs. Yankeesthis page
- NRFI: Tigers vs. YankeesYes won
- Tigers vs. Yankees: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.