MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb444cc5294186a3aeb45b103547c53819d7594e99cdb4af28fb61e8033240c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $955,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $960,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $955,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 47c | 565,923$265,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265,953.99 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 217,944$114,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,971.12 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 53c | 155,607$82,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,046.51 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Rays | 48c | 46,000$22,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,080 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 27c | 43,863$11,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,098.39 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 41,436$21,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,474.42 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Blue Jays | 53c | 30,499$16,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,334.56 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rays | 47c | 25,995$12,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,217.72 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Rays | 47c | 24,539$11,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,534.14 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 75c | 22,903$17,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,177.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Blue Jays | 53c | 21,400$11,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,058 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 53c | 18,110$9,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,511.8 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Rays | 48c | 16,977$8,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,147.26 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 15,263$8,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,169.04 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Blue Jays | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 10,500$5,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,935 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Rays | 47c | 9,324$4,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,382.28 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 49c | 8,655$4,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,232.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Blue Jays | 45c | 8,213$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,477.68 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 15c | 8,205$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jays | 53c | 7,882$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,704.7 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Rays | 68c | 7,578$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Blue Jays | 53c | 6,750$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.5 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 6,543$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Rays | 47c | 6,103$2,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 57c | 5,333$3,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,015.58 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 5,243$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.76 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Rays | 46c | 5,021$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.66 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 4,906$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.74 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Blue Jays | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 4,300$2,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Rays | 46c | 4,245$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.02 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Rays | 64c | 4,228$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,725.99 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc5…ba19backed Blue Jays | 54c | 4,119$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Rays | 47c | 4,080$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.43 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 43c | 4,027$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.76 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Rays | 47c | 3,992$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.2 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 50c | 3,493$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.9 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Rays | 46c | 3,309$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.92 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Blue Jays | 54c | 3,085$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.19 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Rays | 47c | 2,965$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.73 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,703$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.61 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Rays | 78c | 2,630$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.4 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Rays | 47c | 2,539$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.2 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,350$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.45 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Blue Jays | 55c | 2,261$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,104$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.77 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,096$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.23 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 2,038$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.34 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Blue Jays | 36c | 1,525$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Blue Jays | 46c | 1,311$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.64 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,298$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.94 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 33c | 1,270$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.53 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Blue Jays | 52c | 1,171$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.08 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Blue Jays | 51c | 1,161$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.4 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Rays | 48c | 1,138$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 1,132$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Rays | 44c | 1,000$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.07 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jays | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Blue Jays | 53c | 995.4$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.84 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Blue Jays | 54c | 983$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.18 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Blue Jays | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 941.47$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 53c | 939.9$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.52 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 54c | 926.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.23 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 43c | 913.91$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.61 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Rays | 46c | 869$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Rays | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Rays | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Blue Jays | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Blue Jays | 53c | 750$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 48c | 716.69$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.39 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Blue Jays | 31c | 668.65$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.66 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Blue Jays | 42c | 664.87$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.81 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4e…cd1abacked Rays | 47c | 645$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blue Jays | 39c | 644$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.5 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 640$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Rays | 47c | 627.66$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Blue Jays | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…f0f8backed Blue Jays | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…d89ebacked Blue Jays | 56c | 536.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Rays | 47c | 535.07$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 527.25$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 46c | 515.53$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.14 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 36c | 505.55$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Blue Jays | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Blue Jays | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Blue Jays | 51c | 499.98$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 45c | 473$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.01 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 464.01$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays | 48c | 450$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 46c | 440$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Raysthis page
- Blue Jays vs. Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.