MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c395351dd4c66cba4997a6a82e500931b5d0fe0faef4e6bb1de2d25eab8d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Cardinals, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $806,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $785,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $806,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Cardinals | 34c | 304,384$103,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103,401.09 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 66c | 79,000$52,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,860 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners | 66c | 75,830$50,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,782.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners | 66c | 50,000$33,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Mariners | 66c | 47,598$31,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,183.32 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mariners | 64c | 42,658$27,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,435.99 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Mariners | 66c | 40,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 34c | 35,333$12,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,013.22 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cardinals | 21c | 33,183$7,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,065.47 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Cardinals | 46c | 31,886$14,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,521.57 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Mariners | 66c | 29,500$19,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,030 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 52c | 15,034$7,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,791.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners | 74c | 14,706$10,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.64 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 54c | 12,737$6,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,835.26 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed Cardinals | 36c | 10,872$3,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,958.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 33c | 9,466$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.97 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Cardinals | 35c | 8,892$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.2 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners | 67c | 8,707$5,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.2 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Mariners | 66c | 7,607$5,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.49 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 34c | 6,591$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.18 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Cardinals | 35c | 5,426$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Mariners | 60c | 5,248$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.97 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Mariners | 64c | 5,180$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.39 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 55c | 4,982$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.89 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 65c | 4,364$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.08 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 55c | 4,061$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mariners | 57c | 3,558$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.64 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Cardinals | 37c | 3,215$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.97 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…c353backed Mariners | 60c | 2,696$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 66c | 2,652$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.52 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Cardinals | 56c | 2,530$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.07 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Cardinals | 37c | 2,451$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.16 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…64dabacked Cardinals | 22c | 2,283$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 36c | 2,160$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.07 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Cardinals | 55c | 1,995$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.36 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Mariners | 65c | 1,832$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.1 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 65c | 1,736$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.63 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,619$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.11 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Mariners | 66c | 1,578$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.55 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners | 54c | 1,538$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.25 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Mariners | 52c | 1,465$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.84 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Mariners | 73c | 1,367$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.09 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Mariners | 57c | 1,335$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.99 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,320$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.95 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,247$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.15 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 65c | 1,189$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.39 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 60c | 1,173$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.17 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cardinals | 39c | 1,166$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.22 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mariners | 46c | 1,133$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.13 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mariners | 66c | 1,116$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.44 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Cardinals | 48c | 1,091$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.4 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Cardinals | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Cardinals | 33c | 986.37$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.78 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 42c | 962.85$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.22 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c2…0f74backed Cardinals | 50c | 864.35$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.59 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Cardinals | 23c | 851.68$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cardinals | 31c | 850$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cardinals | 47c | 829.79$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 35c | 799.93$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.31 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Mariners | 61c | 750$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Mariners | 54c | 722.22$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.22 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Mariners | 68c | 614.1$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…c448backed Mariners | 64c | 605.3$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 66c | 604.65$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.58 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 67c | 597$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Mariners | 61c | 550$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Mariners | 62c | 530$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 38c | 521.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Cardinals | 34c | 514.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Cardinals | 47c | 510.73$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Cardinals | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mariners | 66c | 486.18$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Cardinals | 25c | 431.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.52 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Cardinals | 41c | 417.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.48 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners | 66c | 405.76$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed Cardinals | 38c | 396.83$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…b26dbacked Mariners | 53c | 379.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Cardinals | 44c | 372.43$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 56c | 354.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cardinals | 45c | 325.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.57 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Cardinals | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 316$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.83 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 67c | 303$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 33c | 299.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cardinals | 59c | 296.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 54c | 276.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.25 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Mariners | 61c | 262.41$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 67c | 261.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.19 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Mariners | 62c | 261.1$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Cardinals | 35c | 258.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.51 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 54c | 218$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mariners | 70c | 212.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Mariners | 51c | 212.7$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.57 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58f6…c600backed Cardinals | 38c | 210.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Cardinals | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cardinals vs. Marinersthis page
- Cardinals vs. Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- NRFI: Cardinals vs. MarinersNo won
- Spread: Mariners (-1.5)Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.