MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefd561b3b51577607f8dafa58f7bf57178e665817a5cbe42f5f95a9b9c7afdd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Rays, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,009,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,023,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,009,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Rays | 36c | 732,125$263,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263,564.06 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 410,569$262,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,699.19 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Rays | 35c | 137,962$48,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,916.87 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Blue Jays | 64c | 75,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 64c | 63,197$40,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,748.87 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 56,589$36,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,111.91 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 34,317$22,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,010.95 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 30,134$19,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,848.2 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,799.99 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 65c | 28,888$18,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,244.13 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 27,791$17,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,004.92 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 65c | 27,203$17,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,417.05 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Blue Jays | 64c | 25,000$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Blue Jays | 65c | 23,000$14,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 73c | 19,151$14,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,148.26 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Blue Jays | 64c | 16,000$10,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,760 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 11,300$7,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Blue Jays | 77c | 10,340$8,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.12 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Rays | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.98 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Blue Jays | 72c | 7,667$5,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.78 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 72c | 6,784$4,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.48 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 64c | 6,211$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.24 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 5,100$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.37 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Rays | 36c | 5,001$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.36 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Blue Jays | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 3,301$2,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 79c | 3,032$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.52 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 2,460$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.6 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Rays | 29c | 2,454$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.91 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Blue Jays | 64c | 2,282$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.4 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 65c | 2,104$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.44 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rays | 34c | 1,729$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.82 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rays | 35c | 1,655$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.31 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Blue Jays | 74c | 1,427$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.52 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Rays | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 1,019$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.23 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed Rays | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 7.1%6 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Rays | 35c | 999.97$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rays | 35c | 966$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.1 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Rays | 35c | 862.37$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.83 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 77c | 800$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.5 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Blue Jays | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Rays | 35c | 664$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Rays | 23c | 661.81$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Rays | 34c | 585.59$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Rays | 35c | 565.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Rays | 36c | 560$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Rays | 35c | 555$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Rays | 8c | 517.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rays | 35c | 500.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rays | 6c | 479.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blue Jays | 65c | 418$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rays | 29c | 370.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.68 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Rays | 4c | 325.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Rays | 5c | 315$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Blue Jays | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blue Jays | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Rays | 22c | 265$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 73c | 253.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed Rays | 35c | 251.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Rays | 36c | 229.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Blue Jays | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Blue Jays | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blue Jays | 62c | 197$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.86 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Rays | 40c | 190.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 18c | 183.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 174.17$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 64c | 156.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eff…8490backed Rays | 26c | 148.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 64c | 145$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Blue Jays | 66c | 142.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.58 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…8395backed Rays | 35c | 142.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…6df6backed Rays | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…a3d3backed Blue Jays | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31df…10cabacked Rays | 25c | 118.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Rays | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…e0edbacked Rays | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Rays | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Rays | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Blue Jays | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Rays | 34c | 81.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 662 | 50.2%332 W · 330 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671f…af9cbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 76.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Blue Jays | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ef…25e3backed Rays | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked Blue Jays | 64c | 59.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rays | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Rays | 20c | 51.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 201 | 38.8%78 W · 123 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafea…3dbfbacked Blue Jays | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae0…e5dfbacked Blue Jays | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176a…7c26backed Rays | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…b93bbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1956…1352backed Blue Jays | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rays vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.