MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e5bf748431a4b0565b0964ba7ef19acf31aed7c01a00f7832fbf77c0fc31cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Mets, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $969,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,059,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $969,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Mets | 41c | 694,718$284,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284,334.57 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Phillies | 59c | 169,936$100,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,618.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 59c | 94,000$55,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,540 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 59c | 85,000$50,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,850 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 59c | 75,000$44,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,750 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Phillies | 60c | 71,145$42,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,458 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 59c | 55,000$32,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,550 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Phillies | 59c | 49,000$28,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,090 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 59c | 30,985$18,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,703.74 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 59c | 30,007$17,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,303 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Mets | 40c | 22,351$8,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,963.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Mets | 42c | 20,711$8,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,614.6 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Phillies | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Phillies | 59c | 17,500$10,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,175 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 59c | 17,154$10,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,033.24 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mets | 40c | 13,632$5,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,477.75 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 73c | 11,305$8,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.13 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Phillies | 66c | 5,513$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.03 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba4…e39abacked Mets | 38c | 5,265$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…a36fbacked Phillies | 62c | 4,833$2,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…3bbcbacked Mets | 38c | 4,735$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 59c | 4,692$2,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.24 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 61c | 4,069$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.88 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x790a…cb76backed Phillies | 62c | 3,548$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 42c | 3,000$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.84 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Phillies | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…ac64backed Mets | 27c | 2,846$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mets | 38c | 2,643$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.17 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Phillies | 58c | 2,500$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Phillies | 59c | 2,251$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.06 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 74c | 2,090$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.89 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Mets | 23c | 1,954$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.67 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd3…8ce0backed Phillies | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 60c | 1,596$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.04 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Phillies | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Phillies | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Mets | 41c | 1,401$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Mets | 24c | 1,350$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mets | 7c | 1,157$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.72 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 59c | 1,068$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.88 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Phillies | 59c | 1,058$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.2 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Mets | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…4edabacked Mets | 1c | 980.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mets | 41c | 930$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mets | 40c | 835.04$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Mets | 22c | 824.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mets | 11c | 804.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.65 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mets | 18c | 762.59$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phillies | 66c | 742$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.88 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Phillies | 60c | 725$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Phillies | 60c | 712.92$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.91 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Phillies | 62c | 711.94$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.54 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Phillies | 59c | 664.41$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.41 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 62c | 645$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Phillies | 66c | 636.83$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Phillies | 59c | 610$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.1 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mets | 24c | 574$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Mets | 7c | 572$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Phillies | 60c | 572$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Mets | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Mets | 39c | 539$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.21 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 38c | 524.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mets | 39c | 520$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.8 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mets | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Phillies | 59c | 511$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.51 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Mets | 38c | 501.33$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.5 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Mets | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mets | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mets | 42c | 461.57$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.86 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Phillies | 59c | 455.93$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Mets | 38c | 451.94$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.74 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Phillies | 59c | 425$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.25 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Phillies | 62c | 418.68$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.74 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Mets | 18c | 406.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 60c | 387$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 77c | 380.65$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Phillies | 60c | 337.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 60c | 337.37$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.95 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Phillies | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Phillies | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mets | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 28c | 294.41$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.35 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Phillies | 58c | 280$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Phillies | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 79c | 209.81$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Phillies | 59c | 203.39$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked Phillies | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Mets | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…e4e6backed Phillies | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked Mets | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Phillies | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Mets | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c8…9be5backed Phillies | 62c | 174.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Phillies | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Phillies | 61c | 163$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Philliesthis page
- Mets vs. Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Phillies (-1.5)Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.