TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Iowa State Cyclonesof Tennessee State Tigers, Iowa State Cyclones
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,148,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,148,881 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Tennessee State Tigers3c109,673$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.734628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacae…6798backed Tennessee State Tigers3c80,724$2,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.8310749.5%53 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tennessee State Tigers1c50,808$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5825145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7976…fc41backed Tennessee State Tigers3c30,753$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedce…0f8abacked Tennessee State Tigers1c25,493$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Tennessee State Tigers0c20,624$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.87650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Tennessee State Tigers1c17,995$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8510543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Tennessee State Tigers3c15,660$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.124334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Tennessee State Tigers3c14,487$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.116643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Tennessee State Tigers3c14,010$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.837912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c12,475$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.9534343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f5f…ef39backed Tennessee State Tigers3c10,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c8,354$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.791,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Tennessee State Tigers4c6,833$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.699711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c7…147abacked Tennessee State Tigers1c6,000$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c5,915$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.291838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7988…f3f3backed Tennessee State Tigers3c5,876$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.772913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16bb…4452backed Tennessee State Tigers3c5,862$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Tennessee State Tigers3c5,673$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f96…87f3backed Tennessee State Tigers4c5,384$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.251526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Tennessee State Tigers4c5,256$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7414930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Tennessee State Tigers3c4,554$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.162,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Tennessee State Tigers3c4,298$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.88946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Tennessee State Tigers2c4,000$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7031646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tennessee State Tigers1c3,416$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.561,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Tennessee State Tigers3c3,281$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.631,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Tennessee State Tigers3c3,256$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.064719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-58.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef02…5ebdbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c3,044$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4140%0 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c2,897$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.765843.1%25 W · 33 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf829…5ee1backed Tennessee State Tigers1c2,803$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Tennessee State Tigers3c2,800$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.48444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c2,500$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.57643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4a9…4d64backed Tennessee State Tigers3c2,500$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.337231.9%23 W · 49 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9ad…6e72backed Tennessee State Tigers5c2,318$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.86933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-41.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4124…8af2backed Tennessee State Tigers4c2,297$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.42810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-65.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c2,000$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.33140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Tennessee State Tigers3c2,000$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee6d…0c24backed Tennessee State Tigers4c2,000$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11bf…770dbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c1,665$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.955024%12 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…2e2dbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c1,544$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Tennessee State Tigers3c1,520$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.156225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-26.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbce1…565dbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c1,469$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.941428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ff…c4ccbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c1,468$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.913228.1%9 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2364…d6a9backed Tennessee State Tigers3c1,299$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.85450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Tennessee State Tigers3c1,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.616721%35 W · 132 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed Tennessee State Tigers3c1,187$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.168744.8%39 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50cb…c79abacked Tennessee State Tigers2c1,144$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.971921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc954…6609backed Tennessee State Tigers3c1,111$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1e5…c5dfbacked Tennessee State Tigers4c1,110$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.95812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-81.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf165…d277backed Tennessee State Tigers3c1,049$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6594…9a61backed Tennessee State Tigers4c1,005$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1840%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Tennessee State Tigers2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd721…d52dbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Tennessee State Tigers3c1,000$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Tennessee State Tigers4c1,000$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e33…5825backed Tennessee State Tigers3c1,000$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646b…5112backed Tennessee State Tigers3c998.92$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.97382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Tennessee State Tigers3c958.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.556636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc080…f9a0backed Tennessee State Tigers3c881.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.972035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ad…8db9backed Tennessee State Tigers3c866.44$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8cc…015bbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c799.08$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.178254.9%45 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c780.4$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1509…6be7backed Tennessee State Tigers3c756.73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97273.7%1 W · 26 L-8.5wins-0.31per pick35cpaid-94.5%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Tennessee State Tigers4c749.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.441,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…e4bdbacked Tennessee State Tigers4c657.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-79.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e86…b01ebacked Tennessee State Tigers4c657.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c629.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1939454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Tennessee State Tigers3c605.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.985117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ba…e6b7backed Tennessee State Tigers3c587.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.984729.8%14 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Tennessee State Tigers3c580.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9811136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe30e…4eedbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c573.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.488518.8%16 W · 69 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd033…668cbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c572.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.983218.8%6 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3be0…9836backed Tennessee State Tigers4c542.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.54475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x765b…9a2fbacked Tennessee State Tigers4c541.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9860%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Tennessee State Tigers4c519.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7337142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c515.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.976347.6%30 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Tennessee State Tigers4c500.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.971921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-53.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Tennessee State Tigers4c500$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x804c…7846backed Tennessee State Tigers3c469.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.984032.5%13 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c452.97$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.047938%30 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20c…bf55backed Tennessee State Tigers3c447.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-48.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a8…445cbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c441.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x534c…70f1backed Tennessee State Tigers3c424.73$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.943441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c422.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7838837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22be…e36ebacked Tennessee State Tigers3c409$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.696036.7%22 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37cd…82d7backed Tennessee State Tigers3c399.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.993534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c399.55$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.192828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Tennessee State Tigers3c288.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Tennessee State Tigers4c269.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.53812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-76%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc77a…daf8backed Tennessee State Tigers5c219.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12913.8%4 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.