Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad3e96a25b5d5c8416910322d663758df86063d643fd0b551b98e32fc39aada7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,640 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 50c | 6,458$3,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.02 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 49c | 5,703$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.51 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Under | 50c | 4,938$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 3,983$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,011.08 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 3,697$1,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 51c | 3,412$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.99 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 49c | 2,949$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.04 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Over | 51c | 2,329$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 925.12$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.56 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Under | 50c | 749.3$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 51c | 102.05$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 50c | 90.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…af3fbacked Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 47c | 38.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 47c | 38.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 50c | 37.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Under | 51c | 34.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…b283backed Under | 50c | 23.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 18.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 147.5this page
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-25.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-35.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-36.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State CyclonesIowa State Cyclones won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 148.5Over won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.