Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01b6a4e674dfd364eb15f98750b3502d061d5275c5ea842228d24b4b6b94606e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,722 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 38c | 3,272$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.94 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Over | 61c | 3,086$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.45 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 2,554$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.22 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 1,997$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.49 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 1,995$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Over | 61c | 1,185$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.26 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,065$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.57 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 53c | 1,064$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.04 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 995.98$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 47c | 803.24$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.71 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 61c | 788.8$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.63 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 48c | 309.77$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 277.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 66c | 198.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 47c | 170.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 47c | 168.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Over | 47c | 168.73$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.43 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +81%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 47c | 159.88$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Over | 66c | 150.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Under | 54c | 110.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 63c | 107.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Over | 47c | 84.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 39c | 78.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Over | 61c | 78.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…070fbacked Under | 51c | 77.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 75c | 59.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 52.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 47c | 45.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f71…9a06backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Under | 42c | 37.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Under | 51c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 54c | 27.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 148.5this page
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-25.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-35.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-36.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State CyclonesIowa State Cyclones won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 147.5Over won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.