Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-25.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184e926279ac8fe08c90387f833802c93a3b210d4663793401e30156c4cc72ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa State Cyclonesof Iowa State Cyclones, Tennessee State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $140,172 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b3f…3446backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 83,537$41,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,118.19 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Tennessee State Tigers | 52c | 34,813$18,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,092.69 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tennessee State Tigers | 18c | 34,773$6,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,259.05 | 177 | 42.9%76 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Tennessee State Tigers | 51c | 30,214$15,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,259.79 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 12,238$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,149.72 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Tennessee State Tigers | 51c | 4,883$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.52 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Tennessee State Tigers | 52c | 1,906$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.26 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Iowa State Cyclones | 49c | 1,010$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.1 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 894.18$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Iowa State Cyclones | 49c | 489.64$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.61 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 297.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.69 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Iowa State Cyclones | 51c | 142$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Iowa State Cyclones | 45c | 90.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tennessee State Tigers | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed Tennessee State Tigers | 52c | 87.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Tennessee State Tigers | 52c | 65.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Iowa State Cyclones | 49c | 65.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Iowa State Cyclones | 48c | 64.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Iowa State Cyclones | 49c | 61.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Tennessee State Tigers | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 52.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Tennessee State Tigers | 54c | 36.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Iowa State Cyclones | 48c | 33.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a73…5650backed Iowa State Cyclones | 50c | 32.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Iowa State Cyclones | 45c | 30.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Tennessee State Tigers | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Iowa State Cyclones | 47c | 24.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-25.5)this page
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-24.5)Iowa State Cyclones won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-35.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
- Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-36.5)Tennessee State Tigers won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State CyclonesIowa State Cyclones won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 147.5Over won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 148.5Over won
- Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones: O/U 149.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.