TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Seahawks (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Seahawksof Seahawks, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,706 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1624…bf63backed Seahawks66c2,651$1,759 inWon+$892.514555.6%25 W · 20 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Patriots49c1,614$793 inLost-$792.6512055.8%67 W · 53 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Seahawks58c1,000$580 inWon+$42022142.1%93 W · 128 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf395…8e3cbacked Patriots42c700$297 inLost-$2973141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd39…e6babacked Patriots52c673.08$350 inLost-$35030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x92b8…9592backed Patriots48c501.27$240 inLost-$239.79147.1%1 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-84.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Seahawks46c434.78$200 inWon+$234.7826660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Seahawks56c425$237 inWon+$188.110858.3%63 W · 45 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Patriots27c366.67$98 inLost-$98.1714818.2%27 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Seahawks74c340$251 inWon+$88.868446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Seahawks42c307.08$129 inWon+$178.121151.2%108 W · 103 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f59…1866backed Patriots49c204.26$100 inLost-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cc8…e458backed Patriots50c200$100 inLost-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x007b…adc6backed Patriots52c192.31$100 inLost-$10013641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bfa…bc94backed Patriots36c189.1$69 inLost-$693622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6f96…87f3backed Patriots30c177.26$53 inLost-$52.542825%7 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Seahawks42c145.24$61 inWon+$84.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Seahawks44c129.84$57 inWon+$72.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Seahawks47c118.87$56 inWon+$631361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Patriots49c109.83$54 inLost-$53.981225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Patriots24c83.33$20 inLost-$202227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xce6d…4968backed Patriots24c62.5$15 inLost-$151020%2 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-64.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef34…1d61backed Seahawks64c61.04$39 inWon+$21.7614158.9%83 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Patriots56c45.84$26 inLost-$25.673847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95c1…4764backed Patriots59c42.7$25 inLost-$25250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b1…7064backed Seahawks53c32.15$17 inWon+$15.115100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Seahawks63c29.78$19 inWon+$10.893467.6%23 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.24per pick44cpaid+60.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7f65…fcddbacked Patriots51c25.98$13 inLost-$13.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa580…2abfbacked Seahawks43c22.99$10 inWon+$12.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+129.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33f3…d80abacked Patriots50c21$11 inLost-$10.53056.7%17 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+39.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x709d…ccf3backed Seahawks54c20$11 inWon+$9.26100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Seahawks53c18.9$10 inWon+$8.812634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 85. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.