College Football · resolved market
Boston College vs. Stanford
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8af7481b3a52afb5131e252b633ffe21d63160d4c5027ed6ec07e35aa67b39e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanfordof Boston College, Stanford
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Stanford | 17c | 11,438$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,526.92 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Stanford | 33c | 8,640$2,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,820.73 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Stanford | 63c | 4,842$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,772.18 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Boston College | 63c | 3,543$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.05 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Boston College | 72c | 3,374$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.33 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Stanford | 29c | 3,184$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.67 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…e435backed Stanford | 28c | 2,643$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Boston College | 31c | 2,199$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.32 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Boston College | 78c | 2,063$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.96 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Stanford | 17c | 2,025$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.74 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Boston College | 72c | 1,910$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.7 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Stanford | 30c | 1,610$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.5 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stanford | 17c | 1,598$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.05 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Boston College | 74c | 1,300$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.93 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Boston College | 49c | 1,252$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.8 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Boston College | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Boston College | 71c | 694$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.35 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Stanford | 27c | 602.2$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.2 | 80 | 6.3%5 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Stanford | 18c | 600$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Boston College | 2c | 520.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stanford | 47c | 473.32$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f64…6badbacked Stanford | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Boston College | 78c | 350$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Stanford | 16c | 350$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Stanford | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Stanford | 18c | 249$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Stanford | 21c | 240$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stanford | 18c | 202.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed Stanford | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Stanford | 40c | 192.7$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.76 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Stanford | 16c | 166.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed Boston College | 26c | 154.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Stanford | 17c | 153.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Stanford | 12c | 140$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Stanford | 62c | 139.12$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed Stanford | 18c | 136.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c45…19cbbacked Stanford | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Stanford | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Stanford | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Stanford | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…7c8fbacked Stanford | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Stanford | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Stanford | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…b14cbacked Stanford | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…0d7fbacked Boston College | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24e2…07f5backed Stanford | 28c | 61.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Boston College | 42c | 42.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Stanford | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked Stanford | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.