TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Giants

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,481

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Giants46c66,008$30,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,287.7938043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Dodgers54c36,552$19,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,813.751,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Giants4c21,788$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.5321847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers54c11,444$6,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,264.2430255.6%168 W · 134 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Dodgers55c10,000$5,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,52014648.6%71 W · 75 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dodgers54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6801,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Giants36c5,563$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers66c4,379$2,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.951,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Giants46c4,348$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Giants39c4,191$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.439,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Giants9c3,737$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2457744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Giants45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.9956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers54c2,085$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.062,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Dodgers52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.18562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Dodgers54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.41,92253.4%1,027 W · 895 L+28.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers65c1,488$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.282,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Dodgers54c1,238$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.6973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers63c1,190$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.3176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e6f…ffaabacked Dodgers55c1,127$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.275451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Giants34c1,113$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.291942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Giants6c1,081$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed Giants45c1,006$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.692642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants46c1,000$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.9383248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Dodgers66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34038751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants4c920$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.896133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants45c899.99$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4053,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dodgers67c876$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.9812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Giants46c869.57$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40066748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Giants46c856.39$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.9414047.9%67 W · 73 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Giants12c834.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Dodgers54c759.97$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.591,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Dodgers55c727$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.151,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Dodgers55c690$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.517045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers55c636.36$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.3626651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed Dodgers54c636$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.563951.3%20 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Dodgers71c620.95$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.6112248.4%59 W · 63 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Dodgers57c567.86$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1812640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Dodgers55c540.65$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.2916552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers55c536$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.0663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Giants45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2251,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants35c470.57$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.484,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Giants45c445$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.451,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Giants45c445$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2517946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Dodgers54c443.26$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.95658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Giants31c436.12$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5570841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Dodgers56c428.57$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.5710451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Dodgers70c393$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.260052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Dodgers66c390.27$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8851953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Dodgers55c380$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Dodgers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.6456351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdc2…8b96backed Giants46c363.04$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1671136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8659…9178backed Giants30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-58.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Giants4c299.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55862%12 W · 574 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa550…3885backed Giants45c290.99$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.955238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Giants42c285.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Giants35c282.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,21540.5%492 W · 723 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3713…14e8backed Giants46c252.17$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1151,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Dodgers55c249.99$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.512152.1%63 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5da…d89ebacked Giants39c222.66$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.964753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68bc…3c0abacked Giants45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Giants20c209.09$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4237951.7%196 W · 183 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.312,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers55c190.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.192,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc4…1ce3backed Giants46c169.46$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9518446.2%85 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03be…5493backed Dodgers55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.452646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f47…0043backed Dodgers71c140.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.721361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Dodgers55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3640144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2105…b560backed Giants47c120.45$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.619543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Dodgers54c114.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.571,29347.3%611 W · 682 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x467e…c62dbacked Dodgers55c110.91$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.919357%53 W · 40 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xffbc…b889backed Dodgers55c105.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.456866.2%45 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa9…7a30backed Dodgers55c98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.124346.1%112 W · 131 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe24e…350cbacked Dodgers65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Dodgers48c90.98$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.316,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Dodgers55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.911,30256.7%738 W · 564 L-1.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Giants42c89.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9925548.6%124 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Giants46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4049348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5572…984ebacked Giants34c78.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8560%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfab5…690dbacked Dodgers55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Giants32c71.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Giants45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.533140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dce…38ecbacked Dodgers52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3113249.2%65 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x670f…3f29backed Dodgers55c65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2511049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Giants35c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2156440.4%228 W · 336 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebdf…1fcbbacked Dodgers67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.71060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Giants46c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.369547.5%330 W · 365 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Giants49c51.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1128949.1%142 W · 147 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ed…04cbbacked Giants43c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.57857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd287…7485backed Dodgers54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2354352.3%284 W · 259 L+27.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Dodgers54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.734257.6%197 W · 145 L+25.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6360…c981backed Dodgers54c45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.725255.6%140 W · 112 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Giants45c43.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6435245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8b4…cacabacked Giants46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207140.8%29 W · 42 L-8.9wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Giants38c39.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8813740.1%55 W · 82 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1080…b86ebacked Dodgers55c38.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1811054.5%60 W · 50 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ce…316ebacked Dodgers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3616036.3%58 W · 102 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4020…466dbacked Dodgers55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3610052%52 W · 48 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88c…2f53backed Dodgers54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.125857%147 W · 111 L+14.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.