Venezuela · resolved market
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59e9c4253f30e137d907fd018df9ed6da1aa68d09bb8d06e336b5eeb18436771
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 4c | 8,427$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,115.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,608.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 61c | 3,661$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 17c | 3,120$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.25 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8063…b886backed Yes | 11c | 2,538$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.92 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +8.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 76c | 1,952$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.9 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 38c | 1,803$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.81 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5893…6835backed No | 74c | 1,389$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 77c | 1,011$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.32 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a3a4backed No | 60c | 1,010$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 16c | 999.99$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 16c | 999.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 17c | 999.95$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.96 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 956.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Yes | 41c | 950$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…8fb7backed No | 1c | 939.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 24c | 899.93$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.94 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 75c | 630$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 37c | 541.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.88 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Yes | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 33c | 440.68$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 64c | 418$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.52 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce4…36a6backed No | 69c | 415.55$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 68c | 414.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x283e…9316backed Yes | 16c | 410.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +110%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…d366backed No | 70c | 404.05$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.53 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 40c | 377.86$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 40c | 369.27$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…d300backed No | 56c | 364.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e0a9backed Yes | 32c | 356.25$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Yes | 43c | 342.1$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 39c | 329.06$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…0e0abacked No | 69c | 312.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 300$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…e652backed No | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 299.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked No | 63c | 250$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed No | 80c | 236.41$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…00b3backed No | 69c | 236$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c29…0b7cbacked No | 80c | 225.93$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfc…1df1backed No | 63c | 221.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x239f…25f6backed No | 62c | 220.24$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa978…5801backed No | 70c | 215.4$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 72c | 210.57$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7be3…afa3backed Yes | 37c | 201.41$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…9f2abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 37c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…28e9backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 43c | 199.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 63c | 195.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8881…b21dbacked No | 62c | 195$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 44c | 194.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Yes | 65c | 194.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…93ccbacked No | 57c | 188.23$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…7ff5backed Yes | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +40%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 57c | 175.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602b…0b7abacked Yes | 32c | 174.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…b15dbacked No | 63c | 170$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…e0d1backed Yes | 38c | 166.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 65c | 163.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked No | 63c | 158.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…a7c7backed No | 55c | 156.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…4ae5backed Yes | 30c | 154.53$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Yes | 29c | 149.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a0…18d1backed No | 70c | 142.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +590.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x949a…721cbacked Yes | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 9cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268a…4a9cbacked Yes | 41c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1a…3accbacked Yes | 38c | 120$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed No | 65c | 115.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +565%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x917f…18d2backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed No | 64c | 109.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa712…bcddbacked Yes | 42c | 109.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…3afcbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 66c | 106.81$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0518…5da2backed No | 55c | 106.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…6a9fbacked No | 75c | 105.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 11c | 101.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 101$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fe…b465backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +205.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…4a6dbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…d11ebacked No | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeabc…e340backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…974ebacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…335fbacked No | 73c | 99.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…ad4ebacked No | 57c | 95.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…c84fbacked Yes | 28c | 92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 36c | 90$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…096bbacked No | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 14c | 89.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…a1dcbacked Yes | 46c | 86.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 16?this page
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20?Yes won
- Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.