NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d8fec5dcd63fb904856e34239323e54304a54fd2fa5b0085418accf6642c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $551,190
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $576,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $551,190 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 836 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks | 48c | 129,516$61,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,798.09 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Flyers | 52c | 53,744$27,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,797.03 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 52c | 36,217$18,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,496.21 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flyers | 52c | 20,077$10,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,716.9 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Flyers | 53c | 18,815$9,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,843.11 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flyers | 52c | 10,450$5,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Flyers | 52c | 8,833$4,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.79 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Blackhawks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blackhawks | 49c | 7,975$3,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,907.63 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 7,777$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.51 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blackhawks | 47c | 6,740$3,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,166.51 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers | 52c | 6,575$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Flyers | 66c | 6,245$4,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.71 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Flyers | 52c | 5,068$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.85 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blackhawks | 24c | 5,016$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.58 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Flyers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blackhawks | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.97 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Flyers | 52c | 4,640$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,227.2 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Blackhawks | 47c | 3,759$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.89 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blackhawks | 48c | 3,150$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.29 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.93 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Blackhawks | 1c | 2,666$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…e0fdbacked Flyers | 53c | 2,656$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.27 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Blackhawks | 13c | 2,513$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.06 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blackhawks | 48c | 2,325$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.14 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6a…e17ebacked Flyers | 54c | 2,305$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b74…b918backed Blackhawks | 47c | 2,305$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked Blackhawks | 28c | 2,175$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blackhawks | 18c | 2,083$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.41 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Blackhawks | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flyers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Blackhawks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Blackhawks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Blackhawks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2782backed Flyers | 52c | 1,969$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…73f4backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,958$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers | 52c | 1,796$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.29 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,743$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.21 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Flyers | 53c | 1,604$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.77 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…32c6backed Flyers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…4912backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…469cbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…76a0backed Flyers | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafff…bba8backed Flyers | 53c | 1,457$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…a872backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,457$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3836…182fbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,438$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec32…2a8abacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,438$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…d237backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,427$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…24f0backed Flyers | 53c | 1,427$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.69 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…53b6backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,425$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adc…e711backed Flyers | 53c | 1,425$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…c9e1backed Flyers | 53c | 1,423$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cc…5337backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,423$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…8759backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,408$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…2176backed Flyers | 53c | 1,408$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…6cbebacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,407$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa8…3bf6backed Flyers | 53c | 1,407$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ec…b5ddbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,402$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031c…5bfcbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,402$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…0bf2backed Flyers | 53c | 1,390$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3897…0edcbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,390$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea1…6491backed Flyers | 53c | 1,383$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0882…fce3backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,383$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Blackhawks | 48c | 1,372$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.84 | 324 | 51.2%166 W · 158 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa929…1baabacked Flyers | 53c | 1,340$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25da…480dbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,340$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,334$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.06 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4a…eb4abacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,331$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…d7c2backed Flyers | 53c | 1,331$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe413…7760backed Flyers | 53c | 1,324$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5ae4backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,324$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…7498backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,323$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…3a81backed Flyers | 53c | 1,323$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadd…4575backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,313$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2552…25a0backed Flyers | 53c | 1,313$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a8…15dfbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,309$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…3601backed Flyers | 53c | 1,309$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…b604backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,302$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…4dd8backed Flyers | 53c | 1,302$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x454e…e492backed Flyers | 53c | 1,301$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…18dcbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,301$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7357…af21backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,299$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +54%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…3b8cbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,299$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…674dbacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,298$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4785…9556backed Flyers | 53c | 1,298$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8119…59debacked Blackhawks | 47c | 1,297$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…54f7backed Flyers | 53c | 1,297$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb2…1191backed Flyers | 53c | 1,294$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…ebb6backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,294$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…8916backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,290$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…4498backed Flyers | 53c | 1,290$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc899…4e17backed Blackhawks | 47c | 1,273$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a9…7a3dbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,273$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…8f6bbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,268$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfddf…cf2cbacked Flyers | 53c | 1,268$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Blackhawksthis page
- Flyers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.