NHL · resolved market
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadeb457db62fad0d960e2205c0f427bac9bf12b0e6e9ad642c07e7ebbccd2075
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,712
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,712 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Flyers | 32c | 3,160$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.17 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 1,847$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.75 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 1,413$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.74 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers | 31c | 1,118$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.19 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Blackhawks | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Flyers | 47c | 248.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blackhawks | 62c | 222$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 120$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Blackhawks | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Flyers | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Blackhawks | 69c | 80$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Blackhawks | 69c | 71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Blackhawks | 67c | 63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Blackhawks | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Blackhawks | 69c | 51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Blackhawks | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7590…d6e0backed Flyers | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Flyers | 31c | 46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Blackhawks | 70c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blackhawks | 52c | 40.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…f2d1backed Flyers | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Flyers | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Flyers | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Flyers | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Blackhawks | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Blackhawks | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Blackhawks | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blackhawks | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Blackhawks | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)this page
- Flyers vs. BlackhawksFlyers won
- Flyers vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.