TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,396

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdd8e…f023backed Over71c17,724$12,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,50014246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c12,991$6,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,704.924,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under34c12,965$4,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,526.743,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…ddc7backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5048…4b29backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c9…4a24backed Over51c9,774$4,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under30c3,952$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,777.5828754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under33c3,062$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,048.761,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c2,032$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.8176048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over67c1,741$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,166.5921444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87c3…2945backed Over62c1,700$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.091566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.9922421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under32c1,180$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.194134.1%14 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+30.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+143.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46011638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Over63c999.93$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.965042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over50c799.55$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.5622731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Over22c700$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15411230.4%34 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over67c671.64$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over69c650.06$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.37864.1%50 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over34c590$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.64148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over43c581.4$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502520%5 W · 20 L-6.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-61.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x62ff…5058backed Over66c548.48$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3627847.4%37 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef42…5d27backed Over69c508.43$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over65c501.6$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.011553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d31…75d9backed Over65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under32c448.04$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.8533555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over50c400.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4829343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Over65c379.98$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over67c350.75$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under63c330.16$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.1613544.4%60 W · 75 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc6…0e75backed Under45c318.68$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under30c313$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.159752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x212b…92c3backed Over64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1440…7712backed Over24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.94042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over68c294.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9931554.6%172 W · 143 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e17…fcdebacked Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee8f…9f44backed Over56c267.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.12035%7 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-43.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4dae…18b4backed Over65c246.15$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005139.2%20 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4332…975dbacked Over64c203.13$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over64c203$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x039e…c2fbbacked Over65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over36c196.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011331%35 W · 78 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under33c187.99$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.954353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0eb…6d57backed Over64c180$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.24862.5%30 W · 18 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+45.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c175.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.650450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under60c174.27$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8516841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over65c160$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.29842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7e5…4482backed Over64c155.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid+29.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-56.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a52…45e7backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac1…6775backed Over65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Under38c151.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed Over67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1036…fb48backed Over67c148.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d62…531ebacked Over10c148.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Over64c142$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8850%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf26b…f3b8backed Over31c140.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under59c137.78$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.492733.3%9 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+81.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under60c137.77$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.021,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over42c136.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.772425%6 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over63c121$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.231656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over65c120$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x179d…e18bbacked Over68c118.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over52c117.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614240.5%17 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Over65c115$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7513955.4%77 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c8f…2268backed Over66c113.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over19c110.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.842025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Under37c108.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.112060%12 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ef…abd4backed Over26c107.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6de…12f7backed Under36c103.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.12333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…2020backed Over65c100.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2383…e639backed Over65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…5ab9backed Over63c97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.11850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+82.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Under35c95.77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.259845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over68c93.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4917048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c46…6a2abacked Over35c85.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.93616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-71.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x482b…6455backed Under37c81.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.831758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+40.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d14…1eb4backed Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…986abacked Over64c77.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Over65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035251.7%182 W · 170 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under36c76.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0221444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under66c75.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.596355.6%35 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd649…6bffbacked Over68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under80c63.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.911552.2%60 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0187…161cbacked Under80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ee…8085backed Over67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over66c59.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392744.4%12 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0e…2b59backed Over55c54.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f23…e2c8backed Over64c54.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick68cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3682…5065backed Over64c53.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.242846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Over64c51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e03…a361backed Over55c50.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5960…d692backed Under33c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.54942.9%21 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90be…9e9bbacked Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd90d…97e5backed Under36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327521.3%16 W · 59 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick17cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.