Fifa International · resolved market
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9384664e54c2d472819f76cfd5197149cc2183b6009d6f3b7471e9f10df53810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Over | 36c | 4,065$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.35 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 2,718$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.6 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 41c | 2,424$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 6c | 1,714$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 59c | 1,572$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.29 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 64c | 1,548$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.51 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4099…66efbacked Over | 9c | 1,063$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 63c | 1,014$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.21 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 23c | 928.57$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…2585backed Over | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 13c | 484.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 66c | 375.45$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Over | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 38c | 339.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.46 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 58c | 339$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 29c | 233.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 41c | 212.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa536…83e7backed Over | 40c | 201.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0a…8223backed Over | 37c | 201.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 37c | 159.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…fcdebacked Over | 13c | 149.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 64c | 138.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Over | 37c | 120.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…4313backed Under | 78c | 103.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Under | 59c | 97.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 16c | 93.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Under | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 63c | 82$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Under | 64c | 76.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 64c | 70.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 62c | 68.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Under | 63c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8f…2268backed Over | 39c | 60.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Over | 41c | 57.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5425backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 166 | 29.5%49 W · 117 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 30c | 48.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 64c | 47.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 64c | 43.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 64c | 43.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…13a3backed Under | 61c | 41.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Over | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Over | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…7b39backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…8065backed Under | 61c | 30.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Under | 66c | 30.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 62c | 23.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Under | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdb…1598backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 276 | 41.3%114 W · 162 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 67c | 15.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5this page
- Nigeria vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Under won
- Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5Under won
- Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.