TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,014
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,014 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under24c14,566$3,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,534.596,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Over78c7,854$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.667755.8%43 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x439b…2c9abacked Over79c4,393$3,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$917.334264.3%27 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over38c2,395$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.952661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under28c2,341$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.82,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under22c2,090$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.4537036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under23c1,966$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.471,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over77c1,660$1,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.141,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c1,557$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.671,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under23c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34560728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under24c1,321$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.111,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6125…fb3abacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc449…2239backed Over76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over49c887.28$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.920239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40029044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under18c792.14$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.069532.6%31 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa393…29f7backed Under24c722.61$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.771330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under25c708.61$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.92,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5204…1ca0backed Over72c636.11$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.111668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eca…fc20backed Over77c505.04$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.16887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+46.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18010636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11529427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Under25c450.6$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8440150.1%201 W · 200 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc97…7d32backed Over76c449.87$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.972050%10 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Over77c441.56$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed Under24c385.19$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.312646.8%59 W · 67 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Over80c344.56$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.912373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over74c340.59$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8525256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1010…0cc9backed Over77c312.7$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Over78c286.27$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.273070%21 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under18c273.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2913054.6%71 W · 59 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under21c271.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.191,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over79c253.81$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3518059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Under79c253.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked Under22c212.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0413941%57 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10215347.7%73 W · 80 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Over79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4216160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Over76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4815735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over58c190.32$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.1245751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b26…c9afbacked Under55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac53…187ebacked Over72c175.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.24875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under61c166$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2651542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over42c165.6$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.844,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5f…3269backed Over76c164.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.471050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Over29c151.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.726838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5910…1c99backed Under23c145$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…75e0backed Over77c132.13$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.391877.8%14 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick74cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583050%15 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.58966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb84d…8b3abacked Over76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.878867%59 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Over77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x705d…c60abacked Over79c126.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.621963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Under45c126.03$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7321965.3%143 W · 76 L+20.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Over78c125.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.643348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed Over76c125$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4520644.7%92 W · 114 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8393…253cbacked Over59c110.17$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.174850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x673e…e66abacked Over76c108.93$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.142142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over77c105.81$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.346636.4%24 W · 42 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Over77c101.3$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.31973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Over76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca51…fca8backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301060%6 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed Under24c99.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8710539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3a…265ebacked Over76c98.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.751957.9%11 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under21c95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9554128.3%153 W · 388 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc687…e856backed Over77c93.76$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.761338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-47.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Over79c88.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196350.8%32 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88e…ef1bbacked Under25c80.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.953748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Over30c80$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked Over77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.922378.3%18 W · 5 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+79.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Over77c77.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.924841.7%20 W · 28 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Over30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498440.5%34 W · 50 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over66c68.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8618444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6046…e3e1backed Over76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5515…451dbacked Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b1…f012backed Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a5…83f1backed Over78c62.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba3…a6a8backed Under23c58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114d…661fbacked Over76c58$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under18c56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over57c53.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0457744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Over77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.952669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac68…4cf4backed Over78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63a7…4ddfbacked Over77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Over76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick64cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x616b…bfacbacked Over76c48.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf94c…8a42backed Under24c43.1$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.342540%10 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44e0…ca60backed Over76c35$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b0…4b50backed Over76c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.89450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5602…acc9backed Over78c32.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca96…a629backed Over73c31.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x147d…d65ebacked Over77c30.68$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.16560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.510569.5%73 W · 32 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3659…1c2dbacked Over76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.23868.4%26 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d3…5ee5backed Over77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92070%14 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7f…e896backed Over76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick71cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce4…8f30backed Over79c25.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.371258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.