Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdec15ece0f4d5bae790dba04b7732d5e15f008e47cfca879546e435851796b27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $247,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $247,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Over | 51c | 100,000$51,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,999.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Under | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 4c | 30,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 49c | 26,080$12,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,300.77 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 16,643$9,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,694.78 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22b…3525backed Under | 50c | 9,982$4,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,991 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 6,606$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.67 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Over | 50c | 5,958$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cef…ce24backed Under | 48c | 5,406$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…6275backed Under | 49c | 5,237$2,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb5…cdb0backed Under | 49c | 5,092$2,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 4,432$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.92 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 3,690$1,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.65 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…cecebacked Over | 53c | 3,641$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Over | 52c | 3,271$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 3,246$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.03 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…73c1backed Over | 51c | 2,616$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 2,499$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.59 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 2,374$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.06 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Over | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 53c | 2,073$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 49c | 1,873$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.47 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Over | 51c | 1,871$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.33 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5c…8ae8backed Over | 52c | 1,683$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Under | 47c | 1,499$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 1,410$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.51 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 52c | 1,152$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.83 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.14 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Over | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed Over | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over | 49c | 916.9$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.28 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Over | 53c | 875$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.75 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 802.55$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.01 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 676.42$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.5 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 2c | 666$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…4708backed Over | 52c | 605.77$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 50c | 590$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.92 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Over | 53c | 574.11$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.94 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 50c | 564$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 51c | 509.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.1 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 45c | 497.84$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.18 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Under | 49c | 401.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 335.89$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 51c | 312$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.12 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Over | 57c | 303.51$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…2c1fbacked Over | 10c | 297.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Over | 52c | 251.56$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.81 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 52c | 241.04$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Over | 55c | 229.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 52c | 228.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.84 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Over | 52c | 218.81$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.41 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 15c | 210.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Under | 55c | 209.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.56 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…08adbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…253cbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 157 | 35.7%56 W · 101 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…e67bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…1742backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0965…f434backed Over | 53c | 189.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…2e48backed Over | 50c | 178.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.27 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 48c | 149.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Over | 51c | 124.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Under | 59c | 120.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 26c | 116.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Over | 53c | 107.84$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…f67ebacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Over | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Under | 48c | 98.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ede…5c8dbacked Over | 53c | 92.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 47c | 82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…4350backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 2.5this page
- Arsenal vs. Brentford: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal vs. Brentford: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal (-1.5)Arsenal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.