NBA · resolved market
Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12825eba8d16dbefc612f5c8ad866790c303c6c632c546fa191974c99b9b565a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $364,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6573…a570backed Yes | 0c | 19,296$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed Yes | 0c | 18,738$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…4d87backed Yes | 0c | 11,481$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…d524backed Yes | 0c | 11,429$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…3f2cbacked Yes | 1c | 11,323$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +392.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…4974backed Yes | 0c | 10,558$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…d65bbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe021…10e8backed Yes | 1c | 9,920$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 8,795$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…5967backed Yes | 0c | 7,750$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x830b…7f63backed Yes | 0c | 6,748$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…afbabacked Yes | 0c | 6,692$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…c5aebacked Yes | 0c | 6,611$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…aa33backed Yes | 0c | 6,304$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 11c | 5,532$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 0c | 5,282$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bd…adccbacked Yes | 0c | 5,125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…29abbacked Yes | 30c | 4,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 3,223$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8646…ed78backed Yes | 1c | 2,914$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Yes | 5c | 2,801$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 381 | 52.8%201 W · 180 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 11c | 2,307$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.69 | 394 | 49.2%194 W · 200 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 37c | 2,013$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.95 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 69c | 1,769$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.73 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…c49bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,643$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.52 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,480$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 4c | 1,349$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 288 | 42.7%123 W · 165 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,179$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 3c | 1,059$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…7a9fbacked Yes | 16c | 881.66$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…f97ebacked Yes | 33c | 756.06$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 19c | 753.85$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.26 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…1ab2backed Yes | 37c | 709.55$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…c72dbacked Yes | 27c | 705.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 79c | 676.38$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.32 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b19…1058backed Yes | 18c | 584.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Yes | 5c | 529.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd94…0b01backed Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 415.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…69f5backed Yes | 22c | 310.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd496…9c86backed Yes | 30c | 288.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…a7b6backed No | 58c | 249.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.09 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…a491backed Yes | 42c | 239.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Yes | 42c | 238$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 470 | 48.5%228 W · 242 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…85d4backed Yes | 9c | 233.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…7af1backed Yes | 7c | 221.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…b3edbacked Yes | 46c | 219.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…bf14backed Yes | 48c | 207.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee4…fa88backed No | 65c | 186.9$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…0e88backed Yes | 44c | 183.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…e31ebacked Yes | 36c | 139.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…bd47backed No | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Yes | 30c | 101.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 65c | 95.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 72cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 31c | 94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x674f…d309backed Yes | 30c | 67.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa858…3bbfbacked Yes | 38c | 66.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d46…e060backed Yes | 42c | 62.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…ef6ebacked Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…c677backed Yes | 35c | 56.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…d3debacked Yes | 40c | 50.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf8…69abbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5acc…89e0backed Yes | 54c | 36.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…9f53backed Yes | 47c | 33.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…4ddfbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1401…0707backed No | 68c | 19.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?this page
- Will Ace Bailey win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Cedric Coward win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?Yes won
- Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Jase Richardson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Jeremiah Fears win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Khaman Maluach win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
- Will Walter Clayton Jr. win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.