NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x383820e8dd1c1805a17f38fdc95c7ad1947afc5353352b0480cc23cdd2121579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 6,507$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.66 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 2,554$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.41 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies | 55c | 1,243$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.3 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Timberwolves | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed Grizzlies | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Grizzlies | 56c | 853.57$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.57 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves | 42c | 613.6$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.06 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves | 45c | 535$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Timberwolves | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 441$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Timberwolves | 50c | 432$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 50c | 430$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.51 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 410.73$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.15 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Timberwolves | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 381.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.86 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…5cc8backed Grizzlies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Grizzlies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 120 | 63.3%76 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Grizzlies | 57c | 351.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.6 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1329…fb0cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 259.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed Grizzlies | 55c | 228$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 210.64$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 293 | 46.4%136 W · 157 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies | 54c | 202.08$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…1943backed Grizzlies | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed Grizzlies | 72c | 176.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef31…1798backed Timberwolves | 46c | 170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Grizzlies | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 144.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 143$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Grizzlies | 62c | 128.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 126$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves | 49c | 125.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Grizzlies | 57c | 123$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 44c | 117.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f0…fae5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 104.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Grizzlies | 54c | 104$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Grizzlies | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Timberwolves | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Grizzlies | 54c | 97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +10.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b20…7c67backed Grizzlies | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…3b2ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 88.08$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Grizzlies | 54c | 81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9061…9510backed Grizzlies | 56c | 76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies | 51c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Grizzlies | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 52c | 73.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b7…c02cbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba36…52d0backed Grizzlies | 54c | 64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Grizzlies | 78c | 63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Grizzlies | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 53.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…dbd8backed Timberwolves | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves | 45c | 52.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Timberwolves | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Timberwolves | 44c | 48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 45c | 47.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6061…1ff7backed Timberwolves | 46c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 55c | 43.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Timberwolves | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Timberwolves | 46c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…7893backed Timberwolves | 46c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Grizzlies | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Grizzlies | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7483…96a6backed Timberwolves | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd207…c366backed Grizzlies | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9f…c2a6backed Grizzlies | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Grizzlies | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves | 44c | 34.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Grizzlies | 56c | 34.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Timberwolves | 46c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Timberwolves | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed Timberwolves | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Timberwolves | 43c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 54c | 30.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Timberwolves | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked Timberwolves | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49d7…1635backed Grizzlies | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)this page
- Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.