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NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Timberwolves, Grizzlies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves46c6,507$2,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.669,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Grizzlies53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88051753.8%278 W · 239 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Grizzlies51c2,554$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,250.411,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Timberwolves49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7352339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Grizzlies55c1,243$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.373649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8e…b232backed Timberwolves49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Grizzlies58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0721055.2%116 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Grizzlies56c853.57$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.5724051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Timberwolves42c613.6$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.062,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Timberwolves45c535$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.822,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa916…4f30backed Timberwolves49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25015841.1%65 W · 93 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Timberwolves50c441$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.55,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Timberwolves50c432$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21615038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies50c430$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.512,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46bd…37e8backed Timberwolves48c410.73$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.1516837.5%63 W · 105 L-20.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xab9b…d007backed Timberwolves50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Grizzlies53c399.99$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18851651%263 W · 253 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Timberwolves49c381.35$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.8623248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67c3…5cc8backed Grizzlies56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1411155%61 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x871c…7f0abacked Grizzlies56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1412063.3%76 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Grizzlies57c351.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.69458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1329…fb0cbacked Grizzlies56c259.07$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…ecf3backed Grizzlies55c228$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.326349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Timberwolves47c210.64$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9929346.4%136 W · 157 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Grizzlies54c202.08$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9361747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…1943backed Grizzlies56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5720150.7%102 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03fc…a8e6backed Grizzlies72c176.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.922254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+44%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef31…1798backed Timberwolves46c170$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4dc…d394backed Grizzlies58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.26952.2%36 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Grizzlies54c144.38$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3849852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4f…243cbacked Grizzlies54c143$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.786454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Grizzlies62c128.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3244821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Grizzlies53c126$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2226044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Timberwolves49c125.08$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.294,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Grizzlies57c123$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.898752.9%46 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves44c117.89$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.393,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f0…fae5backed Timberwolves47c104.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.051457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…a045backed Grizzlies54c104$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.842661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Grizzlies53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4762848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Grizzlies58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4237850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Timberwolves48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4835739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8c…686fbacked Timberwolves13c99.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52449.4%23 W · 221 L-27.5wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-72.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Grizzlies54c97$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.629560%57 W · 38 L+10.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Grizzlies56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2919552.8%103 W · 92 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9519…3b2ebacked Grizzlies51c88.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1617856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f1c…0dd0backed Grizzlies54c81$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.265060%30 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Grizzlies56c76$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.447162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Grizzlies51c75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.381,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a3…cc70backed Grizzlies54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.55455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies52c73.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b7…c02cbacked Grizzlies58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.974252.4%22 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba36…52d0backed Grizzlies54c64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.446855.9%38 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Grizzlies78c63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8663427.3%173 W · 461 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Grizzlies53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Timberwolves46c53.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.742,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Timberwolves46c53$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.142138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Timberwolves45c52.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.732,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Timberwolves44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2253951.6%278 W · 261 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa4…b6a4backed Timberwolves44c48$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.122965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves45c47.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.273,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6061…1ff7backed Timberwolves46c47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.622958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Timberwolves46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.74148.8%20 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies55c43.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.52,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…aeb8backed Timberwolves46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.783650%18 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Timberwolves46c42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.323240.6%13 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd595…7893backed Timberwolves46c39$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943964.1%25 W · 14 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Grizzlies55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.18852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Grizzlies56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7121756.7%123 W · 94 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7483…96a6backed Timberwolves46c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.14746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Grizzlies58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4819150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a9f…c2a6backed Grizzlies58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.487550.7%38 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e46…25c2backed Grizzlies58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4811047.3%52 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Timberwolves44c34.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.091,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Grizzlies56c34.29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0913646.3%63 W · 73 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62e6…f251backed Timberwolves46c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.643953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f1…6349backed Timberwolves45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517350.9%88 W · 85 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x063c…d642backed Timberwolves43c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.193237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1d9…a94bbacked Grizzlies54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.726154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Timberwolves43c32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.764351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies54c30.75$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.143,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed Timberwolves46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e5d…e5bfbacked Timberwolves46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.881435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…4028backed Timberwolves46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.52634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb5a9…f72ebacked Timberwolves43c24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.322556%14 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Timberwolves46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Timberwolves46c23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.584643.5%20 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Timberwolves46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.122030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49d7…1635backed Grizzlies56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.81656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.