NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1505fb3ee82b451baf3a92c2144d305768b22fee1566552e01d8668aa2501535
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 56c | 12,474$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473.59 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 3,754$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.17 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 3,067$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 39c | 3,065$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.85 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732c…0fdabacked Over | 48c | 2,604$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 2c | 2,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 2,340$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.32 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 1,345$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.6 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 1,242$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.77 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,042$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 1,001$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.38 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Over | 40c | 999.53$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.27 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 58c | 948.09$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.31 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 40c | 912.04$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.86 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 60c | 620$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.47 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 48c | 570.83$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Over | 48c | 556.25$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 42c | 499.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 472.07$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 49c | 438.78$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…f533backed Over | 61c | 410$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 40c | 397.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 42c | 388$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 39c | 298.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 50c | 279.74$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 47c | 223.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.02 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 39c | 208$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1209…fa75backed Over | 48c | 193.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Under | 62c | 134$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 56c | 114$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…7a7abacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 32c | 98.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 52c | 94.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 49c | 80.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ed…1795backed Under | 59c | 62.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042e…f947backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Under | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 210 | 51.4%108 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Under | 52c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…1e6ebacked Over | 44c | 39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Over | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…9cebbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 59c | 29.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 43c | 24.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked Over | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5this page
- Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 226.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5Under won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-7.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.